Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 1 - Södra - Round 23

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Tornvallen Stångby (Lund)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Torn		Norrby

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.82
	3.75	3.6	1.83
	3.7	3.75	1.84
	3.79	3.72	1.88	Watch
	3.71	3.64	1.87	Watch
	3.6	3.55	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3.3)	3.61 ↓ (3.66)	1.85 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torn
24.9%

Draw
25.4%

Norrby
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

25.3%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

24.5%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Norrby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torn than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norrby than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Torn - Norrby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Larsson A. (G) 15. Fatahi M. 20. Halvadzic M. 8. Hamawand L. 14. Jacobsson J. 11. Kallstrom H. 9. Karaman E. 22. Khattab O. 23. Kukoyi R. 19. Lynard J. (C) 5. Persson L.	12. Svensson T. (G) 7. Amos P. 11. Andersson M. 6. Bawa M. 4. Dahl L. 36. Gorgos M. 22. Helge T. 31. Olsson M. 2. Parleholt A. 16. Salo A. (C) 15. Yarsuvat R.
Substitutes
6. Hallberg O. 10. Khattab O. 2. Kowalski N. 30. Norlander R. (G) 24. Obasoto A. 7. Wassholm T. 16. Winberg A.	1. Astor V. (G) 14. Backlund O. 9. Gustafsson O. 21. Hansen A. 13. Lundgren O. 19. Lyden A. 10. Olausson L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Halvadzic M. ⚽,
41', Dahl L. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Yarsuvat R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', Khattab O. ↓, Obasoto A. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Olsson M. ⚽,
67', Amos P. ↓, Olausson L. ↑,
73', 2 - 2, Kukoyi R. ⚽,
74', Andersson M. ↓, Hansen A. ↑,
88', Jacobsson J. ↓, Wassholm T. ↑,
88', Halvadzic M. ↓, Khattab O. ↑,
90+3', Lynard J. 🟨,
90+3', Salo A. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 5).

The competitors look crappy now.

Norrby could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Norrby will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Torn won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Torn won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torns IF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
14.09.24	Ängelholm - Torn	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Torn - Ljungskile	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Torslanda - Torn	2:1 ✺
27.08.24	Torn - Lunds	3:4 ✺
17.08.24	Jönköpings Södra - Torn	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLLL
- Norrby IF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
15.09.24	Norrby - Onsala	3:3 ✺
09.09.24	Norrby - Falkenberg	0:1 ✺
02.09.24	Jönköpings Södra - Norrby	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Norrby - Eskilsminne	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Oskarshamn - Norrby	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
04.05.24	Norrby - Torn	0:0
29.10.23	Norrby - Torn	8:3
22.04.23	Torn - Norrby	0:3

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