The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Norrby 40.1%
Draw 25.9%
Värnamo 34%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.1%
25.9%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.7%
25.6%
35.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norrby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Värnamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norrby than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Värnamo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Norrby - Värnamo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 14th in the Division 1 - Norra (Relegation) and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norrby won 4.
Norrby is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Värnamo have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Norrby has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:10 (averaging 2:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Norrby against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 12:5 goals (averaging 3:1.3 per game).