Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 1 - Södra - Round 25

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday

Location: Tornvallen Stångby (Lund)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Torn		Olympic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.5
	2.5	3.25	2.6
	2.61	3.15	2.74
	2.62	3.19	2.7	Watch
	2.48	3.38	2.56	Watch
	2.5	3.25	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.06)	3.24 ↓ (3.4)	2.62 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torn
36.5%

Draw
28.4%

Olympic
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

26.2%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

26.9%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Torn's form might have worsened.

Olympic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torn than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympic than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olympic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Torn - Olympic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Norlander R. (G) 14. Jacobsson J. 5. Persson L. 19. Lynard J. (C) 23. Kukoyi R. 6. Hallberg O. 8. Hamawand L. 11. Kallstrom H. 20. Halvadzic M. 24. Obasoto A. 9. Karaman E.	30. Griffiths T. (G) 18. Perez A. 20. Miftari A. 5. Konjuhi L. 22. Sundgren A. 9. Busuladzic K. 23. Ologe E. 8. Ademi L. 17. Egbe M. 10. Ayari A. (C) 14. Andersson M.
Substitutes
15. Fatahi M. 10. Khattab O. 22. Khattab O. 2. Kowalski N. 1. Larsson A. (G) 26. Persson E. 7. Wassholm T.	16. Castro V. 28. Laci M. 6. Mujaguzi C. 24. Nuh M. 1. Pettersson M. (G) 2. Rossborg H. 26. Zendelovski A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Ademi L. ⚽,
31', Lynard J. 🟨,
35', Ayari A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ologe E. ↓, Zendelovski A. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Sundgren A. ⚽,
58', Hallberg O. ↓, Persson E. ↑,
58', Jacobsson J. ↓, Fatahi M. ↑,
58', Obasoto A. ↓, Khattab O. ↑,
60', Ayari A. ↓, Nuh M. ↑,
70', Andersson M. ↓, Laci M. ↑,
73', Kukoyi R. 🟨,
75', 0 - 3, Nuh M. ⚽,
77', Halvadzic M. ↓, Wassholm T. ↑,
85', Ademi L. ↓, Castro V. ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Torn won 2.

Recent matches Torn is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olympic is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Torn won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.5:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Torn won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:5 (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torns IF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
28.09.24	Eskilsminne - Torn	2:2 ✺
22.09.24	Torn - Norrby	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Ängelholm - Torn	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Torn - Ljungskile	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Torslanda - Torn	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTTWL
- BK Olympic
Swedish Division 1 Södra
29.09.24	Olympic - Jönköpings Södra	4:1 ✺
21.09.24	Oskarshamn - Olympic	2:3 ✺
14.09.24	Olympic - Tvååker	1:1 ✺
08.09.24	Onsala - Olympic	0:2 ✺
31.08.24	Lunds - Olympic	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
07.06.24	Olympic - Torn	1:0
09.09.23	Olympic - Torn	1:1
26.05.23	Torn - Olympic	1:1
10.08.22	Torn - Olympic	3:2
Svenska Cupen
02.07.22	Torn - Olympic	2:1
Swedish Division 1 Södra
13.05.22	Olympic - Torn	2:2
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
08.10.16	Torn - Olympic	2:1

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