Match Info

MLS Next Pro

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: York Lions Stadium (Toronto, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Next Pro
World	Onefootball


	Toronto FC II		CT United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.25	3.50	1.88
	3.45	3.7	1.88
	3.54	3.94	1.85
	3.5	3.97	1.88	Watch
	3.3	3.5	1.85
	3.51	3.66	1.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (2.79)	3.71 ↑ (3.59)	1.86 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toronto FC II
26.6%

Draw
24.5%

CT United
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

25.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

26.3%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto FC II's form might have worsened.

CT United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CT United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto FC II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CT United than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CT United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Toronto FC II - CT United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
80. Nakhly Z. (C) 65. Campbell-Dennis R. 75. Fisher R. 73. Chisholm M. 74. Costabile L. 69. Blyth T. 82. Boneau B. 58. Stojadinovic M. 93. Dixon D. 64. Nolan J. 56. Bossenberry A.	23. Rankenburg G. (G) 21. Van Hees R. 5. Boamah M. 12. Kamrath L. 22. Applewhaite A. 14. Lacy D. 18. Petrie S. 11. Gomez E. 13. Monis A. (C) 24. D’Ippolito D. 7. Tanyi B.
Substitutes
91. Barrow D. 96. Chukwu R. 87. Dawson L. 89. Jalleau D. 50. Kantorowicz D. (G) 67. Kerr K. 84. Khodri E. 83. Omoregbe E. 63. Pinnock S.	45. Cuenca E. 27. Goddard L. 46. Koloniaris N. 99. Kouonang H. 44. Medranda J. 1. Ramos A. (G) 47. Wolanski A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
22', 1 - 0, Dixon D. ⚽, Boneau B. (A),
33', 1 - 1, D’Ippolito D. ⚽, Tanyi B. (A),
36', 1 - 2, D’Ippolito D. ⚽, Monis A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', D’Ippolito D. 🟨,
54', Monis A. 🟨,
61', Dixon D. 🟥,
63', 1 - 3, Monis A. (Penalty Awarded),
65', Petrie S. ↓, Koloniaris N. ↑,
66', Tanyi B. ↓, Kouonang H. ↑,
68', Boneau B. ↓, Khodri E. ↑,
70', Boamah M. ↓, Medranda J. ↑,
75', Nolan J. ↓, Kerr K. ↑,
75', Costabile L. ↓, Chukwu R. ↑,
79', D’Ippolito D. ↓, Goddard L. ↑,
82', 2 - 3, Kerr K. ⚽, Bossenberry A. (A),
83', Blyth T. ↓, Dawson L. ↑,
86', Campbell-Dennis R. ↓, Pinnock S. ↑,
88', 2 - 4, Applewhaite A. (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', Koloniaris N. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).

Toronto II is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

CT United has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

CT United may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

CT United will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Toronto II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Toronto FC II - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.05%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toronto FC II
MLS Next Pro
05.06.26	Toronto FC II - Huntsville City	2:1 ✺
29.05.26	Toronto FC II - Philadelphia Union II	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Columbus Crew 2 - Toronto FC II	2:3 penalties ✺
16.05.26	CT United - Toronto FC II	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Toronto FC II - New York Red Bulls 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 WWWWL
- CT United FC
MLS Next Pro
08.06.26	Columbus Crew 2 - CT United	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Huntsville City - CT United	2:3 penalties ✺
24.05.26	New York Red Bulls 2 - CT United	1:3 ✺
16.05.26	CT United - Toronto FC II	0:2 ✺
03.05.26	CT United - New England Revolution II	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

MLS Next Pro
16.05.26	CT United - Toronto FC II	0:2

Toronto FC II - CT United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide