Match Info

MLS Next Pro

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Morrone Stadium (Storrs, CT)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Usa	MLS Next Pro, SportsEngine Play
World	Onefootball


	CT United		Toronto FC II

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4.40	5.00
	1.39	4.65	6.3
	1.38	4.82	6.36
	1.4	4.89	6.36	Watch
	1.34	4.7	6.2
	1.37	4.65	6.33	Watch
	1.39	4.6	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.57)	4.67 ↑ (3.95)	6.11 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CT United
65.6%

Draw
19.5%

Toronto FC II
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

22.9%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

22.1%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CT United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in CT United's performance.

Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CT United than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with CT United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+4%)

CT United - Toronto FC II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Rankenburg G. (G) 21. Van Hees R. 5. Boamah M. 15. Stephenson J. 22. Applewhaite A. 18. Petrie S. 13. Monis A. 11. Gomez E. 14. Lacy D. 7. Tanyi B. 24. D’Ippolito D.	80. Nakhly Z. (G) 58. Stojadinovic M. 75. Fisher R. 98. Kapor S. 65. Campbell-Dennis R. 87. Dawson L. 82. Boneau B. 69. Blyth T. 74. Costabile L. 84. Khodri E. 64. Nolan J.
Substitutes
17. Agostoni W. 9. Caua Paixao 40. Corsetti G. 27. Goddard L. 12. Kamrath L. 19. Kasule I. 46. Koloniaris N. 44. Medranda J. 1. Ramos A. (G)	91. Barrow D. 73. Chisholm M. 50. Kantorowicz D. (G) 67. Kerr K. 66. Nue-Brito D. 83. Omoregbe E. 63. Pinnock S. 92. Rigopoulos T. 72. Stampatori D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Monis A. ⚽, D’Ippolito D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Kapor S. ↓, Barrow D. ↑,
56', Stephenson J. ↓, Kamrath L. ↑,
56', Petrie S. ↓, Agostoni W. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Barrow D. ⚽, Dawson L. (A),
61', Blyth T. ↓, Rigopoulos T. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Tanyi B. ⚽, Agostoni W. (A),
71', 2 - 2, Nolan J. ⚽, Nakhly Z. (A),
76', Nolan J. ↓, Kerr K. ↑,
76', Dawson L. ↓, Pinnock S. ↑,
76', Boneau B. ↓, Nue-Brito D. ↑,
77', Tanyi B. ↓, Goddard L. ↑,
77', D’Ippolito D. ↓, Caua Paixao ↑,
83', 3 - 2, Caua Paixao ⚽, Kamrath L. (A),
88', Agostoni W. 🟨,
90+4', Van Hees R. ↓, Corsetti G. ↑,
90+4', Fisher R. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 12).

Recent performances by CT United have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Toronto II is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Toronto II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, CT United is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, CT United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, CT United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CT United FC
MLS Next Pro
05.07.26	CT United - Carolina Core	3:1 ✺
26.06.26	CT United - New York City II	1:4 ✺
18.06.26	CT United - Cincinnati 2	4:0 ✺
14.06.26	Toronto FC II - CT United	2:4 ✺
08.06.26	Columbus Crew 2 - CT United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWWL
- Toronto FC II
MLS Next Pro
04.07.26	Atlanta United II - Toronto FC II	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Toronto FC II - New England Revolution II	1:3 ✺
21.06.26	New York Red Bulls 2 - Toronto FC II	5:0 ✺
14.06.26	Toronto FC II - CT United	2:4 ✺
05.06.26	Toronto FC II - Huntsville City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

MLS Next Pro
14.06.26	Toronto FC II - CT United	2:4
16.05.26	CT United - Toronto FC II	0:2

CT United - Toronto FC II: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide