Match Info

Date: 15 May 2020, Friday


	Torpedo-BelAZ		Gorodeja

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.5	5.5	Watch
	1.67	3.5	5.75
	1.64	3.3	5.4	Watch
	1.65	3.45	5.4
	1.72	3.37	5.51
	1.65	3.4	5.25	Watch
	1.69	3.32	5.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.68)	3.41 ↑ (3.33)	5.43 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo-BelAZ
55.7%

Draw
27.2%

Gorodeja
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

27.7%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

22.1%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo-BelAZ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Gorodeja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo-BelAZ than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torpedo-BelAZ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gorodeja than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63%	12.3%	24.7%

Torpedo BelAZ - Gorodeja Predictions

Users Predictions: 81 users predict this event. Torpedo will win (votes: 51 - 63%). Gorodeja will win (votes: 20 - 24.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 12.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Torpedo: 52.5% – 73.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo-BelAZ Zhodino
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
09.05.20	Slavia Mozyr - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:0 ✺
02.05.20	Minsk - Torpedo-BelAZ	2:5 ✺
26.04.20	Torpedo-BelAZ - Rukh Brest	0:0 ✺
18.04.20	BATE Borisov - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:0 ✺
11.04.20	Torpedo-BelAZ - SKA-1938	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TWTTW
- FC Gorodeja
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
08.05.20	Gorodeja - Minsk	1:1 ✺
02.05.20	Rukh Brest - Gorodeja	1:1 ✺
25.04.20	Gorodeja - BATE Borisov	0:2 ✺
16.04.20	SKA-1938 - Gorodeja	0:1 ✺
11.04.20	Gorodeja - Dinamo Minsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
25.08.19	Torpedo-BelAZ - Gorodeja	1:1
20.04.19	Gorodeja - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:3
31.08.18	Torpedo-BelAZ - Gorodeja	0:1
29.04.18	Gorodeja - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:1
Club Friendly
01.02.18	Torpedo-BelAZ - Gorodeja	1:0
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
01.10.17	Torpedo-BelAZ - Gorodeja	3:2
21.05.17	Gorodeja - Torpedo-BelAZ	3:2

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