The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Minsk 39.3%
Draw 27.2%
Torpedo-BelAZ 33.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.4%
26%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.6%
26.2%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Torpedo-BelAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minsk than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
The ML Model estimate for Torpedo-BelAZ aligns with the current prediction.
Minsk - Torpedo BelAZ Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Gutor A. (C) 88. Jarjue Kabia A. 4. Khadarkevich R. 3. Sokol A. 19. Kuchinskiy K. 13. Aleksievich I. 29. Dubinets I. 15. Yatskevich V. 7. Gomis H. 9. Dieye M. 80. Ksenofontov A.
25. Yurasov T. (G) 3. Chagovets Y. 13. Zaleskiy A. 96. Melko V. 68. Zhulpa D. 7. Bykov A. 30. Pobudey V. 6. Premudrov K. (C) 28. Yusov D. 89. Frantsuzov A. 11. Lomovitskiy A.
Substitutes
6. Abena F. 2. Dikhtievskiy V. 16. Gerashchenko M. (G) 22. Makas A. 33. Malitskiy K. 24. Matusevich S. 8. Migdalenok A. 79. Sviridenko I. 23. Turich A. 10. Zherdev G.
27. Gaevoy M. 14. Ladutko M. 4. Manaev V. 20. Martyanov G. 99. Maslenikov M. (G) 90. Matusevich N. 47. Nalivayko V. 9. Petrosyan G. 10. Sharkovskiy T. 15. Zheleznyi R.
Coaches
Chelyadinsky A.
Karolik D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Aleksievich I. ↓, Abena F. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Dieye M. 🟨,
67', Gomis H. ↓, Zherdev G. ↑,
67', Dieye M. ↓, Makas A. ↑,
68', Yusov D. ↓, Sharkovskiy T. ↑,
68', Melko V. ↓, Martyanov G. ↑,
75', 0 - 1, Frantsuzov A. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Sharkovskiy T. 🟨,
80', Yatskevich V. ↓, Migdalenok A. ↑,
80', Kuchinskiy K. ↓, Dikhtievskiy V. ↑,
87', Zhulpa D. 🟨,
89', Lomovitskiy A. ↓, Nalivayko V. ↑,
90+1', Jarjue Kabia A. 🟨,
90+2', Frantsuzov A. ↓, Gaevoy M. ↑,
Preview
A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minsk won 1.
Minsk has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Torpedo has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Torpedo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Minsk has recorded 4 wins, 7 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:31 (averaging 0.9:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Minsk against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 8:14 goals (averaging 1:1.8 per game).