Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 11

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Trud stadium (Miass)


	Torpedo Miass		Sibir Novosibirsk

	1	X	2
	2.61	3.28	2.36
	2.5	3.25	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.83)	3.27 ↓ (3.32)	2.39 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 11.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Miass
35.1%

Draw
27.4%

Sibir Novosibirsk
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

27.4%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

26.6%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Miass has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Sibir Novosibirsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Miass than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sibir Novosibirsk than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Torpedo Miass - Sibir Novosibirsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Kovalev R. (G) 2. Balakhonov A. 90. Borisenko G. 9. Khlynov N. 22. Kuzmin D. 5. Lopatko E. 11. Pavlov D. 21. Rubanov D. 61. Stolbov S. 67. Tkachuk R. 7. Zamyatin D. (C)	35. Kiselev M. (G) 49. Karaev M. 23. Krotov A. 11. Kvekveskiri D. 5. Maksimenkov I. 40. Nikitin D. 9. Nosov A. 7. Pokotylo D. 4. Redkovich D. (C) 54. Shmakov I. 31. Zotov G.
Substitutes
57. Albastov A. (G) 4. Baksheev N. 77. Bezzubov V. (G) 69. Cherepanov S. 98. Fadeev N. 50. Faizullin D. 17. Kotelnikov I. 44. Popov V. 46. Tarasov M. 19. Tsikishev V.	30. Alizade A. 2. Eliseev A. 55. Govor V. 39. Kobyalko A. 13. Kosarevskiy P. (G) 20. Laptev V. 21. Makurin A. 10. Yakovlev D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Khlynov N. 🟨,
26', Pavlov D. 🟨,
32', Pokotylo D. 🟨,
34', Khlynov N. ↓, Kotelnikov I. ↑,
34', Pavlov D. ↓, Tsikishev V. ↑,
36', Karaev M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Pokotylo D. ↓, Yakovlev D. ↑,
46', Kvekveskiri D. ↓, Kobyalko A. ↑,
59', 1 - 0, Borisenko G. ⚽,
68', Zamyatin D. ↓, Faizullin D. ↑,
77', Karaev M. ↓, Eliseev A. ↑,
77', Shmakov I. ↓, Alizade A. ↑,
78', Yakovlev D. 🟨,
79', Rubanov D. ↓, Popov V. ↑,
85', Borisenko G. ↓, Tarasov M. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Nikitin D. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Torpedo Miass has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sibir is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Torpedo Miass won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Sibir Novosibirsk	12	5	3	4	17:14	3	18

Last Results with these Odds

Sibir Novosibirsk - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.55%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Miass
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
26.04.26	Irtysh Omsk - Torpedo Miass	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Torpedo Miass - Leningradets	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Torpedo Miass - Veles Moscow	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Torpedo Miass	2:3 ✺
04.04.26	Torpedo Miass - Volgar Astrakhan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TLLWT
- FC Sibir Novosibirsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
26.04.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Kaluga - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	2:2 ✺
08.04.26	Veles Moscow - Sibir Novosibirsk	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Irtysh Omsk - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
15.03.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Torpedo Miass	3:0

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