Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 15

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Torpedo Stadium (Vladimir)


	Torpedo Vladimir		Irkutsk

	1	X	2
	3.61	3.52	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (2.82)	3.52 ↑ (3.45)	1.86 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Vladimir
25.2%

Draw
25.9%

Irkutsk
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

27%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

26.9%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Vladimir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Torpedo Vladimir's form might have worsened.

Irkutsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Irkutsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Vladimir than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Torpedo Vladimir, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Irkutsk than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Irkutsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kulagin A. (G) 27. Arslanov D. 17. Glinskiy D. 7. Kolganov N. 58. Pestov M. 3. Romanenkov N. 72. Safronov D. 45. Utkin S. 74. Vyaznikov A. 8. Zemskov M. 11. Zharov I.	16. Tsygulev A. (G) 27. Alekseev S. 37. Belyaev E. 7. Lavrentiev A. 11. Lutashev V. 19. Mashnev M. 23. Motovilov F. 28. Naydenov A. 69. Perevoznikov E. 38. Pytlev D. 34. Usov A.
Substitutes
22. Jabbarov R. 30. Khadzhiev R. 20. Kostryukov V. 77. Lunev R. 25. Prusakov D. 24. Ruppel B. 35. Sychev V. (G)	41. Dudarev A. 99. Lomash A. 4. Molodnyakov D. 21. Oganichev D. 14. Putilov A. 71. Vafiev M. (G) 33. Yakovlev I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Pestov M. 🟨,
14', Vyaznikov A. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Zemskov M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', Lavrentiev A. 🟨,
56', Lutashev V. ↓, Yakovlev I. ↑,
56', Perevoznikov E. ↓, Putilov A. ↑,
57', 2 - 0, Zharov I. ⚽,
58', Pestov M. ↓, Ruppel B. ↑,
65', Belyaev E. ↓, Lomash A. ↑,
65', Lavrentiev A. ↓, Oganichev D. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Lomash A. ⚽,
86', Zharov I. ↓, Lunev R. ↑,
87', 2 - 2, Mashnev M. ⚽,
90+4', Utkin S. ↓, Kostryukov V. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 8).

Torpedo Vladimir is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Irkutsk has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Irkutsk has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Torpedo Vladimir won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Including home match between the teams, Torpedo Vladimir won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Vladimir
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
28.06.25	Chertanovo - Torpedo Vladimir	1:2 ✺
22.06.25	Torpedo Vladimir - Cherepovets	0:0 ✺
15.06.25	Spartak 2 Moscow - Torpedo Vladimir	4:0 ✺
08.06.25	Torpedo Vladimir - Zvezda St. Petersburg	2:0 ✺
01.06.25	Yenisey 2 - Torpedo Vladimir	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WTLWW
- FC Irkutsk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
28.06.25	Irkutsk - Volga Tver	2:4 ✺
22.06.25	Irkutsk - Kolomna	0:0 ✺
15.06.25	Irkutsk - Saturn Ramenskoye	5:1 ✺
08.06.25	Luki-Energiya - Irkutsk	1:1 ✺
01.06.25	Irkutsk - Zenit 2	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
08.09.24	Irkutsk - Torpedo Vladimir	3:0
26.05.24	Torpedo Vladimir - Irkutsk	0:1

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