Match Info

ENGLAND: FA TROPHY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	Torquay United		Yeovil Town

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.3	2.25
	2.65	3.5	2.4
	2.65	3.55	2.38
	2.65	3.55	2.39
	2.7	3.5	2.25
	2.66	3.54	2.36
	2.65	3.4	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.74)	3.48 ↓ (3.5)	2.34 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torquay United
34.5%

Draw
26.3%

Yeovil Town
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

26.2%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

25.9%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torquay United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Yeovil Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yeovil Town than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Torquay United - Yeovil Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Torquay won 2.

Recent matches Torquay is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Yeovil in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Torquay could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Yeovil have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Torquay won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Torquay won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torquay United
English National League South
11.11.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Torquay United	0:2 ✺
07.11.23	Torquay United - Yeovil Town	1:3 ✺
04.11.23	Torquay United - Bath City	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Torquay United	3:1 ✺
24.10.23	Weston-super-Mare - Torquay United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLL
- Yeovil Town
English National League South
14.11.23	Yeovil Town - Farnborough	4:2 ✺
11.11.23	Yeovil Town - Dover Athletic	2:0 ✺
07.11.23	Torquay United - Yeovil Town	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Yeovil Town - Gateshead	3:2 ✺
English National League South
28.10.23	Yeovil Town - Braintree Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
07.11.23	Torquay United - Yeovil Town	1:3
English National League
01.01.23	Yeovil Town - Torquay United	2:0
26.12.22	Torquay United - Yeovil Town	1:1
02.01.22	Yeovil Town - Torquay United	1:2
26.12.21	Torquay United - Yeovil Town	3:0
02.01.21	Yeovil Town - Torquay United	2:1
26.12.20	Torquay United - Yeovil Town	6:1

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