Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 5

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Manuel Marques (Torres Vedras)

Referee: Brazao M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV2


	Torreense		Paços de Ferreira

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.7	6.25
	1.62	3.5	4.6
	1.62	3.55	5.3
	1.63	3.63	5.75
	1.59	3.59	6.23	Watch
	1.7	3.54	5.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.6)	3.59 ↓ (3.78)	5.57 (5.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torreense
57.5%

Draw
25.8%

Paços de Ferreira
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

24.8%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

23.7%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torreense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paços de Ferreira than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Torreense - Paços de Ferreira Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Torreense will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Paços de Ferreira will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paços de Ferreira (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Paços de Ferreira (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paços de Ferreira (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Perez U. (G) 22. David Bruno 2. Stopira (C) 93. Mohamed D. 23. Vazquez J. 10. Costinha 6. Leo Silva 8. Alfaro A. 31. Seydi I. 9. Zohi K. 7. Jean D.	28. Marafona (G) 4. Kauan 23. Ferreira T. (C) 5. Sousa A. 21. Anilson 88. Francisco Ramos 19. Nito 13. Pinto J. 36. Silva V. 9. Victor J. 30. Costinha
Substitutes
77. Afonso Peixoto 4. Casas A. 57. Danilo 76. David Ivanov (G) 17. Drammeh M. 42. Ipalibo J. 20. Pite 11. Pozo M. 26. Simoes A.	2. Cardoso G. 26. Cunha N. 15. Dias L. 7. Diego Fernandes 33. Fernandinho 12. Jeimes (G) 6. Joao Caiado 90. Lumungo R. 77. Rafael
Coaches
Martins V.	Candido F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Anilson 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Victor J. ↓, Diego Fernandes ↑,
46', Nito ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
50', Mohamed D. 🟨,
60', Zohi K. ↓, Drammeh M. ↑,
63', Silva V. 🟨,
63', Seydi I. ↓, Pozo M. ↑,
65', Pinto J. ↓, Joao Caiado ↑,
65', Silva V. ↓, Lumungo R. ↑,
75', Alfaro A. ↓, Pite ↑,
76', David Bruno ↓, Danilo ↑,
80', Francisco Ramos ↓, Cunha N. ↑,
84', Mohamed D. ↓, Simoes A. ↑,
90', Kauan 🟨,
90+2', Joao Caiado 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Torreense have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Paços de Ferreira has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Torreense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Torreense is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Torreense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Torreense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
29.08.25	Leiria - Torreense	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Torreense - Académico de Viseu	2:1 ✺
17.08.25	Farense - Torreense	0:3 ✺
09.08.25	Torreense - Sporting Lisbon B	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Torreense - Mérida AD	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWLW
- Paços de Ferreira
Portuguese Liga 2
31.08.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Paços de Ferreira	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Paços de Ferreira - Leiria	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Académico de Viseu - Paços de Ferreira	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Paços de Ferreira - Vizela	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Fafe - Paços de Ferreira	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
08.03.25	Torreense - Paços de Ferreira	3:0
13.10.24	Paços de Ferreira - Torreense	1:0
09.03.24	Paços de Ferreira - Torreense	2:0
28.10.23	Torreense - Paços de Ferreira	1:2

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