Match Info

Liga Portugal 2 - Round 9

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio Municipal de Portimão (Portimão)

Referee: Rodrigues A. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Portimonense		Torreense

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.6	2.3	Watch
				Watch
	2.88	3.4	2.28
	2.86	3.33	2.38	Watch
	2.86	3.4	2.33	Watch
	2.74	3.45	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (3.12)	3.44 ↓ (3.47)	2.32 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portimonense
32.8%

Draw
27.1%

Torreense
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

26.8%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

26.4%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portimonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Torreense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portimonense than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	13.3%	80%

Portimonense - Torreense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Torreense will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Torreense will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Maycon Cleiton (G) 5. Heitor 73. Junior M. 32. Jarleysom 31. Edney 23. Ze Gabriel 15. Xavier 17. Joao Reis 18. Mamede 9. Monteiro T. 8. Lobato S.	1. Lucas Paes (G) 22. David Bruno 2. Stopira 93. Mohamed D. 23. Vazquez J. 6. Leo Silva 8. Alfaro A. 26. Simoes A. 11. Pozo M. 9. Zohi K. 7. Jean D.
Substitutes
2. Abel A. 47. Cagro W. 90. Canario F. 21. Dauda M. 19. Dju M. 36. Douglas Friedrich (G) 40. Joao Vitor 6. Neves S. 16. Thauan Lara	46. Agbor B. 99. Arielson 4. Casas A. 57. Danilo 17. Drammeh M. 65. Guilherme Liberato 13. Perez U. (G) 20. Pite 31. Seydi I.
Coaches
Fernandes T.	Martins V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Edney 🟨,
58', Xavier 🟨,
66', Edney 🟥,
67', Zohi K. ↓, Seydi I. ↑,
67', Jean D. ↓, Pite ↑,
72', Lobato S. ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
74', 0 - 1, Seydi I. ⚽,
78', Alfaro A. ↓, Guilherme Liberato ↑,
79', Ze Gabriel ↓, Dju M. ↑,
85', Mamede ↓, Dauda M. ↑,
86', Simoes A. ↓, Casas A. ↑,
86', Pozo M. ↓, Drammeh M. ↑,
90+7', Drammeh M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).

Portimonense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Torreense is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Portimonense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Portimonense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Portimonense SC
Portuguese Liga 2
25.10.25	Paços de Ferreira - Portimonense	4:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
18.10.25	Portimonense - Arouca	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
04.10.25	Portimonense - Leiria	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Académico de Viseu - Portimonense	2:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.09.25	Vitória de Sernache - Portimonense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTWW
- SCU Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2
24.10.25	Torreense - Oliveirense	3:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
18.10.25	Torreense - Oliveirense	2:1 penalties ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
05.10.25	Porto B - Torreense	2:3 ✺
27.09.25	Benfica B - Torreense	3:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Correlhã - Torreense	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
16.02.25	Portimonense - Torreense	1:2
13.09.24	Torreense - Portimonense	3:2

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