The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Torreense 33.7%
Draw 29%
Sporting Lisbon 37.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.7%
27.3%
41%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.7%
27.3%
41%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Torreense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Torreense - Sporting Lisbon Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
66. Costa R. (G) 2. Ramos B. 22. Tivnan J. 5. Correia C. (C) 68. Lopes B. 16. Pereira C. 77. Ferreira R. 7. Rodriguez D. 21. Konst G. 6. Hayes M. 9. Janaina Weimer
1. Wellmann A. (G) 15. Bea 26. Cherry M. 41. Barron A. 11. Perez B. (C) 17. Claudia Neto 14. Arques D. 4. Cancelinha E. 2. Hernandez-Gray J. 13. Santiago C. 19. Bonsegundo F.
Substitutes
3. Costa M. 19. Guerreiro M. 18. Ines Barge Vera Cid 55. Joia C. (G) 12. Klammer M. 15. Nunes N. S. 10. Paloma Lemos 8. Rafaela Rufino 14. Salvestrin T.
77. Abreu Rodrigues T. F. 20. Armengol C. 39. Bravo A. 6. Eaton-Collins G. 9. Encarnacao T. 8. Fontemanha R. 21. Lino S. 7. Martins J. 22. Potra C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
33', Bea 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Tivnan J. ⚽, Pereira C. (A),
45+2', Ramos B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tivnan J. ↓, Costa M. ↑,
60', Ramos B. ↓, Paloma Lemos ↑,
70', Arques D. ↓, Bravo A. ↑,
70', Claudia Neto ↓, Encarnacao T. ↑,
70', Bonsegundo F. ↓, Armengol C. ↑,
73', Rodriguez D. ↓, Rafaela Rufino ↑,
83', Janaina Weimer ↓, Klammer M. ↑,
88', Correia C. 🟨,
88', Perez B. ↓, Eaton-Collins G. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Paloma Lemos ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torreense won 2.
Torreense is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Sporting has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Torreense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Torreense has had a series of home games.
Sporting could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Torreense won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 7:25. (average 0.5:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Torreense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:13. (average 0.2:2.2).