Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 31

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday


	Torrejón		Alcalá

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.49	3.05	2.7
	2.35	3.05	3.04
				Watch
	2.57	2.9	2.66
	2.32	3.15	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.94)	3.05 ↑ (2.93)	2.75 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torrejón
37.2%

Draw
29.8%

Alcalá
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

31.1%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

31%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torrejón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Torrejón's performance.

Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torrejón than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Torrejón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Torrejón - Alcalá Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 1 - 0, ⚽,
73', 🟥,
78', 1 - 1, Sanchez B. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Torrejón won 1.

Torrejón is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Alcalá is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Torrejón won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:13 (average 1.1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Torrejón won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 1.5:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Torrejón CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
13.04.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Torrejón	3:3 ✺
06.04.25	Torrejón - Leganés B	3:2 ✺
30.03.25	Tres Cantos - Torrejón	3:3 ✺
23.03.25	Torrejón - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
16.03.25	El Álamo - Torrejón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWTWW
- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
13.04.25	Alcalá - Cala Pozuelo	3:0 ✺
06.04.25	Alcalá - Rayo Vallecano B	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Leganés B - Alcalá	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	Alcalá - Tres Cantos	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Carabanchel - Alcalá	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
08.12.24	Alcalá - Torrejón	3:1
01.05.24	Alcalá - Torrejón	3:3
07.01.24	Torrejón - Alcalá	2:0
14.01.23	Alcalá - Torrejón	1:0
11.09.22	Torrejón - Alcalá	1:1
23.01.22	Alcalá - Torrejón	2:0
15.09.21	Torrejón - Alcalá	3:0

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