The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Torreperogil 27%
Draw 31.1%
Arenas Armilla 41.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.8%
29%
44.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.7%
28.9%
44.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Torreperogil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Arenas Armilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreperogil than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Armilla than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Torreperogil - Arenas Armilla Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torreperogil won 3.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Torreperogil may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Arenas Armilla is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Torreperogil won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Torreperogil won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).