Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Mancha Real		Arenas Armilla

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.72	2.72
	2.74	2.75	2.78
	2.76	2.76	2.76
	2.7	2.7	2.7
	2.68	2.7	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.71)	2.73 ↑ (2.72)	2.73 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mancha Real
33.4%

Draw
33.3%

Arenas Armilla
33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

35.1%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Mancha Real have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Arenas Armilla have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenas Armilla than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Mancha Real - Arenas Armilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
76', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mancha Real won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Mancha Real won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Arenas Armilla	5	3	2	0	8:4	4	11
17	Mancha	5	0	2	3	2:7	-5	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mancha Real
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
22.02.26	Churriana de la Vega - Mancha Real	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Mancha Real - Torreperogil	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Mancha Real - Torre Del Mar	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	El Palo - Mancha Real	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Mancha Real - UD San Pedro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTLT
- Arenas Armilla
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
22.02.26	Motril - Arenas Armilla	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Arenas Armilla - Churriana de la Vega	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Arenas Armilla - Atlético Porcuna	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Torre Del Mar - Arenas Armilla	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Arenas Armilla - El Palo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
18.10.25	Arenas Armilla - Mancha Real	0:0
09.02.25	Arenas Armilla - Mancha Real	2:1
25.02.24	Arenas Armilla - Mancha Real	0:0
15.10.23	Mancha Real - Arenas Armilla	1:2

Mancha Real - Arenas Armilla: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide