Match Info

LITHUANIA: I LYGA - ROUND 7

Date: 22 April 2023, Saturday


	Transinvest		Garliava

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.63	3.5	4.4
	1.6	3.78	4.6
	1.73	3.94	4.2
	1.65	3.65	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.52)	3.72 ↓ (3.98)	4.43 ↓ (5.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Transinvest
55%

Draw
24.5%

Garliava
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

22.7%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

22.1%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Transinvest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Garliava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Transinvest than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Transinvest, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Garliava than the current prediction. (-3%)

Transinvest - Garliava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 and 12).

Transinvest is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Garliava is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Garliava could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Transinvest is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Transinvest
Lithuanian Division 2
16.04.23	FA Šiauliai B - Transinvest	0:3 ✺
08.04.23	Transinvest - Minija Kretinga	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Transinvest - Riteriai 2	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Transinvest	2:2 ✺
11.03.23	Neptūnas - Transinvest	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWTL
- FK Garliava
Lithuanian Division 2
15.04.23	Garliava - Jonava	1:1 ✺
07.04.23	Neptūnas - Garliava	1:2 ✺
01.04.23	Garliava - Nevėžis	0:0 ✺
26.03.23	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Garliava	1:1 ✺
18.03.23	Garliava - Marijampolė City	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 TWTTL

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