Match Info

I Lyga - Round 21

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	BE1 NFA Kaunas		Garliava

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.50	3.90
	1.72	3.45	3.85
	1.74	3.55	3.88
	1.72	3.77	4.05	Watch
	1.71	3.4	3.7
	1.7	3.68	4.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.27)	3.56 ↑ (3.43)	3.93 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BE1 NFA Kaunas
52%

Draw
25.2%

Garliava
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

26.4%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

25.8%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BE1 NFA Kaunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in BE1 NFA Kaunas's performance.

Garliava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Garliava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BE1 NFA Kaunas than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with BE1 NFA Kaunas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garliava than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Garliava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

BE1 NFA Kaunas - Garliava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BE1 NFA won 3.

Recent performances by BE1 NFA have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Garliava is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

BE1 NFA might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, BE1 NFA won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 1.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, BE1 NFA won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	BE1 NFA	24	16	2	6	44:24	20	50
10	Garliava	25	8	4	13	31:28	3	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BE1 NFA Kaunas
Lithuanian Division 2
14.08.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Minija Kretinga - BE1 NFA Kaunas	3:0 ✺
31.07.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Jonava	0:2 ✺
26.07.26	BFA Vilnius - BE1 NFA Kaunas	3:1 ✺
01.07.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLW
- FK Garliava
Lithuanian Division 2
15.08.26	Garliava - Tauras Tauragė	0:1 ✺
07.08.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Garliava	3:1 ✺
01.08.26	Garliava - Neptūnas	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Jonava - Garliava	1:0 ✺
26.06.26	Garliava - Minija Kretinga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
18.04.26	Garliava - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:2
28.09.24	Garliava - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:2
11.05.24	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Garliava	2:1
12.08.23	Garliava - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:3
Lithuanian Cup
06.05.23	Garliava - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:2
Lithuanian Division 2
26.03.23	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Garliava	1:1
13.08.22	Garliava - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:1

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