Match Info

I Lyga - Round 20

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday


	Transinvest 2		Atmosfera Mažeikiai

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.25	4.33	1.46
	5.15	4.05	1.48
	4.89	4.01	1.49
	5.13	4.2	1.52	Watch
	4.75	3.9	1.45
	5.65	4.1	1.47
	4.58	4.07	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.06 ↑ (4.52)	4.09 ↑ (4)	1.49 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Transinvest 2
17.7%

Draw
21.9%

Atmosfera Mažeikiai
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.1%

22.6%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

22.2%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Transinvest 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Atmosfera Mažeikiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Transinvest 2 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (-2%)

Transinvest 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 1 - 0, ⚽,
72', 🟥,
78', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 9).

Transinvest 2 has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Atmosfera has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Atmosfera is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Transinvest 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Atmosfera	24	8	6	10	37:33	4	30
13	Transinvest 2	25	6	3	16	29:58	-29	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Transinvest 2
Lithuanian Division 2
08.08.26	BFA Vilnius - Transinvest 2	4:2 ✺
03.08.26	Transinvest 2 - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
28.07.26	Dainava Alytus - Transinvest 2	3:1 ✺
20.07.26	Transinvest 2 - Neptūnas	2:2 ✺
27.06.26	Transinvest 2 - Tauras Tauragė	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLTL
- Atmosfera Mažeikiai
Lithuanian Division 2
08.08.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - FA Šiauliai B	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	3:1 ✺
25.07.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Hegelmann Litauen 2	4:1 ✺
01.07.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:1 ✺
27.06.26	Ekranas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
03.04.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Transinvest 2	1:2

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