Match Info

I Lyga - Round 17

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Atmosfera Mažeikiai		Hegelmann Litauen 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.21	5.75	9.75
	1.26	5.3	8.1
	1.24	5.59	8.53
	1.21	5.93	10.14	Watch
	1.17	5.45	8.35
	1.23	5.55	9.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.31)	5.6 ↑ (4.9)	9 ↑ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atmosfera Mažeikiai
73.9%

Draw
16.1%

Hegelmann Litauen 2
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

18.4%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

17.3%

11.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atmosfera Mažeikiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Hegelmann Litauen 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hegelmann Litauen 2 than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Hegelmann Litauen 2 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 2 - 0, ⚽,
62', 3 - 0, ⚽,
66', 3 - 1, ⚽,
88', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 13).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Atmosfera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atmosfera is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atmosfera won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atmosfera won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Atmosfera	24	8	6	10	37:33	4	30
14	Hegelmann Litauen 2	25	6	1	18	26:59	-33	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atmosfera Mažeikiai
Lithuanian Division 2
01.07.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:1 ✺
27.06.26	Ekranas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Minija Kretinga	0:1 ✺
12.06.26	Jonava - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLTW
- Hegelmann Litauen 2
Lithuanian Division 2
21.07.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Hegelmann Litauen 2	3:1 ✺
27.06.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Jonava	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	BFA Vilnius - Hegelmann Litauen 2	0:1 ✺
12.06.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
15.03.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:3
27.07.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:2
16.03.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:0
31.08.24	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:1

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