Match Info

SML - Round 16

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Transvaal		Notch

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.7	4.5
	1.67	3.79	4.34	Watch
	1.59	3.74	4.88
	1.62	3.66	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.65)	3.72 ↓ (3.9)	4.56 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Transvaal
55.8%

Draw
24.3%

Notch
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

23.6%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

22.4%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Transvaal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Notch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Transvaal than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notch than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Transvaal - Notch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ SML (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ SML (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Notch may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Notch has had a series of home games.

In this match, Transvaal is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Transvaal won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Transvaal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Transvaal
Suriname Major League
07.02.26	Transvaal - Leo Victor	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Transvaal - Robinhood	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Voorwaarts - Transvaal	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Inter Moengotapoe - Transvaal	4:0 ✺
27.12.25	Transvaal - Broki	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTLLT
- SV Notch
Suriname Major League
25.01.26	Notch - Flora	0:2 ✺
17.01.26	Notch - Robinhood	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Notch - Voorwaarts	0:1 ✺
03.01.26	Inter Moengotapoe - Notch	1:0 ✺
28.12.25	Notch - Inter Wanica	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Suriname Major League
14.06.25	Notch - Transvaal	1:2
05.04.25	Transvaal - Notch	0:1

Transvaal - Notch: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide