Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Winners stage - Play Offs - Final

Date: 16 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale (Erice)


	Trapani		Campobasso

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.4	4.33
	1.72	3.48	4.05
	1.73	3.48	4.05
	1.73	3.4	4.2
	1.7	3.54	4.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.93)	3.46 ↑ (3.2)	4.22 ↑ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trapani
52.6%

Draw
26%

Campobasso
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

28.3%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

30%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trapani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trapani's performance.

Campobasso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trapani than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Campobasso than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
8', 0 - 1, Romero N. ⚽,
11', 0 - 2, Romero N. ⚽,
17', 0 - 3, Rasi A. ⚽,
23', 0 - 4, Di Nardo A. ⚽,
31', 1 - 4, Kragl O. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 1 - 5, Di Nardo A. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Trapani is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Campobasso is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Campobasso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Trapani is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trapani Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
06.06.24	Trapani - Caldiero Terme	4:1 ✺
02.06.24	Caldiero Terme - Trapani	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
29.05.24	Follonica Gavorrano - Trapani	0:2 ✺
25.05.24	Trapani - Follonica Gavorrano	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group A
19.05.24	Trapani - Cavese	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWLL
- Campobasso
Italian Serie D - Group A
06.06.24	Campobasso - Cavese	2:3 ✺
01.06.24	Cavese - Campobasso	2:5 ✺
19.05.24	Campobasso - AC Carpi	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
28.04.24	Chieti - Campobasso	0:2 ✺
21.04.24	Campobasso - Notaresco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWWT

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