Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 28

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale (Erice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Trapani		Cavese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.48	3.05	2.78	Watch
	2.44	3.05	2.92
	2.45	2.98	2.92	Watch
	2.4	2.8	2.8
	2.42	2.88	2.94	Watch
	2.42	3.1	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.17)	2.98 ↓ (3.26)	2.88 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trapani
37.5%

Draw
30.7%

Cavese
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.2%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

28.4%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trapani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Cavese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trapani than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trapani, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavese than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Trapani - Cavese Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Cavese (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cavese (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Galeotti C. (G) 47. Morelli G. 23. Motoc A. 31. Pirrello R. 30. Nicoli S. 20. Aronica G. 8. Celeghin E. 18. Matos 70. Forte R. 33. Benedetti A. (C) 77. Stauciuc B.	12. Boffelli V. (G) 3. Luciani A. 73. Bolcano D. 27. Loreto C. 70. Ubani M. 24. Orlando F. 90. Visconti E. 23. Munari D. 33. Yabre M. 82. Fusco G. 7. Minaj E.
Substitutes
14. Battimelli G. 27. Cozzoli F. 80. Knezovic B. 17. La Sorsa C. 74. Marcolini D. 10. Napolitano L. 7. Ortisi P. 2. Perri M. 71. Quiroz G. 22. Salamone S. (G) 1. Ujkaj E. (G) 5. Vimercati A. 92. Winkelmann T.	5. Awua T. 11. Diarrassouba A. 13. Evangelisti N. 10. Fella G. 9. Gudjohnsen S. 45. Imparato C. 28. Macchi M. 20. Maiolo F. 22. Manzo F. (G) 17. Nunziata F. 25. Peretti M. 99. Sposito A. (G) 16. Ubaldi L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Pirrello R. 🟨,
27', Motoc A. 🟨,
45', Forte R. ↓, La Sorsa C. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', Fusco G. ↓, Gudjohnsen S. ↑,
62', Munari D. ↓, Maiolo F. ↑,
62', Ubani M. ↓, Diarrassouba A. ↑,
62', Yabre M. ↓, Macchi M. ↑,
67', Stauciuc B. ↓, Battimelli G. ↑,
67', Benedetti A. ↓, Winkelmann T. ↑,
67', Morelli G. ↓, Perri M. ↑,
71', Nunziata F. 🟨,
75', 1 - 0, Celeghin E. ⚽,
79', Matos ↓, Marcolini D. ↑,
79', Bolcano D. ↓, Fella G. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, Winkelmann T. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trapani won 3.

Trapani has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cavese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cavese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Trapani won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Trapani won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cavese	8	3	2	3	14:14	0	11

Last Results with these Odds

Trapani - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.39%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trapani Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
18.02.26	Catania - Trapani	4:0 ✺
14.02.26	Giugliano - Trapani	3:1 ✺
10.02.26	Trapani - Benevento	0:5 ✺
01.02.26	Trapani - Altamura	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Casertana - Trapani	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LLLLW
- USD Cavese 1919
Italian Serie C Group C
14.02.26	Cavese - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Cavese - Monopoli	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Latina - Cavese	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Cavese - Casarano	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Giugliano - Cavese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
12.10.25	Cavese - Trapani	0:1
22.03.25	Cavese - Trapani	2:1
09.11.24	Trapani - Cavese	1:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
10.08.24	Cavese - Trapani	0:1
Italian Serie D - Group A
19.05.24	Trapani - Cavese	2:3
Italian Serie D - Group I
06.04.22	Cavese - Trapani	3:0
26.09.21	Trapani - Cavese	0:1

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