Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 6

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Polisportivo Provinciale (Erice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, RaiPlay, RAI Sport, RAI Sport+, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 259
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
World	Onefootball


	Trapani		Catania

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.78	3	2.52
	2.91	3	2.66
	8.00	1.36	4.63	Watch
	2.72	2.98	2.46	Watch
	2.62	2.98	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (2.83)	2.66 ↓ (3.25)	2.9 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trapani
26.7%

Draw
38.2%

Catania
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

28.2%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

28%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trapani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trapani's form might have worsened.

Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trapani than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trapani, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Trapani - Catania Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Catania (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Catania (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Trapani (3.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Catania (3.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Trapani (votes: 1 - 20%). Catania (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Galeotti C. (G) 34. Negro S. 13. Salines E. 5. Stramaccioni D. 26. Kirwan N. 8. Celeghin E. 47. Di Noia G. 33. Benedetti A. (C) 10. Canotto L. 21. Fischnaller M. 39. Grandolfo F.	57. Dini A. (G) 68. Ierardi M. 15. Di Gennaro M. 73. Pieraccini S. 24. Casasola T. 30. Corbari A. 17. Di Tacchio F. (C) 3. Celli A. 23. Lunetta G. 10. Cicerelli E. 32. Forte F.
Substitutes
30. Carriero G. 99. Ciotti P. 11. Ciuferri F. 74. Marcolini D. 7. Moie K. 23. Motoc A. 37. Palmieri R. 31. Pirrello R. 27. Podrini F. 24. Sposito A. (G)	6. Allegretto A. 1. Bethers K. (G) 22. Bottaro G. (G) 20. Donnarumma D. 37. Forti C. 7. Jimenez K. 16. Quaini A. 21. Quiroz G. 19. Raimo A. 11. Stoppa M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Corbari A. 🟨,
21', Casasola T. 🟨,
30', Stramaccioni D. 🟨,
33', Celeghin E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Negro S. ↓, Pirrello R. ↑,
54', 1 - 0, Fischnaller M. ⚽,
57', Grandolfo F. 🟨,
64', Celli A. ↓, Donnarumma D. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Lunetta G. ⚽,
74', Corbari A. ↓, Quaini A. ↑,
74', Forte F. ↓, Stoppa M. ↑,
76', Segberg E. ↓, Ciuferri F. ↑,
77', Celeghin E. ↓, Carriero G. ↑,
81', Quaini A. 🟨,
81', Salines E. ↓, Ciotti P. ↑,
86', Cicerelli E. ↓, Jimenez K. ↑,
87', 🟨,
90+8', Carriero G. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trapani won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Catania may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Trapani won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Trapani won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trapani Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
21.09.25	Altamura - Trapani	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Trapani - Casertana	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Sorrento - Trapani	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Trapani - Latina	6:0 ✺
24.08.25	Casarano - Trapani	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWWWT
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
20.09.25	Catania - Sorrento	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Nuova Cosenza - Catania	4:1 ✺
06.09.25	Catania - Monopoli	4:0 ✺
30.08.25	Cavese - Catania	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Catania - Foggia	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
30.03.25	Trapani - Catania	0:3
Coppa Italia Serie C
26.11.24	Catania - Trapani	0:5
Italian Serie C Group C
15.11.24	Catania - Trapani	2:1
Italian Serie D - Group I
07.05.23	Trapani - Catania	1:0
21.12.22	Catania - Trapani	2:1
Italian Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs
02.06.19	Trapani - Catania	1:1
29.05.19	Catania - Trapani	2:2

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