The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Audace Cerignola 28.1%
Draw 26.9%
Catania 45.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.5%
26.4%
45.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.1%
26.1%
45.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Audace Cerignola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
The chances for Catania have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The ML Model estimate for Audace Cerignola aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Audace Cerignola - Catania Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals) and 4th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/16 - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Audace Cerignola won 1.
In recent outings, Audace Cerignola has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Catania is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Catania holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Audace Cerignola has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 0.7:0.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Audace Cerignola against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals (averaging 1:0 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Catania
11
6
1
4
24:12
12
19
6
Audace Cerignola
11
5
2
4
18:11
7
17
Last Results with these Odds
Catania - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.05%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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