Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 7

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Domenico Monterisi (Cerignola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia
World	Onefootball


	Audace Cerignola		Catania

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.72	3.2	2.42
	2.81	3.2	2.52
	2.94	3.10	2.42	Watch
	2.71	3.02	2.45	Watch
	2.46	3.13	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.55)	3.13 ↑ (3.1)	2.48 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Audace Cerignola
33.7%

Draw
29.3%

Catania
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

29.9%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

31.5%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Audace Cerignola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-5%)

Audace Cerignola - Catania Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Catania (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Catania (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Greco S. (G) 2. Todisco G. 5. Martinelli L. 6. Visentin S. 4. Vitale G. 10. Paolucci L. 58. Cretella C. 11. Bianchini G. 3. Russo L. 29. Cuppone L. 90. Emmausso M.	57. Dini A. (G) 73. Pieraccini S. 15. Di Gennaro M. 68. Ierardi M. 24. Casasola T. 14. Di Tacchio F. 30. Corbari A. 3. Celli A. 23. Lunetta G. 11. Stoppa M. 32. Forte F.
Substitutes
17. Ballabile E. 45. Cocorocchio M. 7. Dabizas A. 33. D'Orazio L. 22. Fares G. (G) 9. Gambale D. 71. Ianzano D. 31. Iliev V. (G) 86. Labranca R. 15. Ligi A. 20. Miguel Angel 24. Moreso O. 99. Parlato C. 83. Ruggiero Z. 25. Spaltro R.	6. Allegretto A. 1. Bethers K. (G) 22. Bottaro G. (G) 10. Cicerelli E. 99. D'Ausilio M. 20. Donnarumma D. 37. Forti C. 7. Jimenez K. 16. Quaini A. 21. Quiroz G. 19. Raimo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Forte F. ↓, Jimenez K. ↑,
31', Cretella C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pieraccini S. ↓, Donnarumma D. ↑,
46', Bianchini G. ↓, Moreso O. ↑,
49', Moreso O. 🟨,
58', Stoppa M. ↓, Cicerelli E. ↑,
72', Cuppone L. ↓, Gambale D. ↑,
72', Cretella C. ↓, Ruggiero Z. ↑,
84', Di Tacchio F. 🟨,
84', Di Tacchio F. ↓, Quaini A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Audace Cerignola may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Audace Cerignola won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Audace Cerignola won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Audace Cerignola - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.37%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Audace Cerignola
Italian Serie C Group C
24.09.25	Salernitana - Audace Cerignola	2:3 ✺
20.09.25	Audace Cerignola - Foggia	0:0 ✺
12.09.25	Monopoli - Audace Cerignola	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Audace Cerignola - Siracusa	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Potenza - Audace Cerignola	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTLWT
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
24.09.25	Trapani - Catania	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Catania - Sorrento	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Nuova Cosenza - Catania	4:1 ✺
06.09.25	Catania - Monopoli	4:0 ✺
30.08.25	Cavese - Catania	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
02.02.25	Audace Cerignola - Catania	2:0
25.09.24	Catania - Audace Cerignola	0:0
15.03.24	Catania - Audace Cerignola	2:1
12.11.23	Audace Cerignola - Catania	1:0

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