Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 9

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Regional de Los Andes (Los Andes)


	Trasandino de Los Andes		Deportes Rengo

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.4	3.7
	1.86	3.56	3.71
	1.85	3.54	3.76	Watch
	1.8	3.38	4.04
	1.87	3.4	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.61)	3.46 ↓ (3.63)	3.78 ↓ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trasandino de Los Andes
49.4%

Draw
26.4%

Deportes Rengo
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

25.1%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

22%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trasandino de Los Andes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trasandino de Los Andes's form might have worsened.

Deportes Rengo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Rengo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trasandino de Los Andes than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Rengo than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Trasandino de Los Andes - Deportes Rengo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Ahumada R. 8. Delgado J. 11. Dubo Vergara R. M. 17. Henriquez A. 6. Hormazabal C. 18. Navarrete C. 3. Osorio R. 25. Pacheco I. 9. Quinones J. 5. Torres M.	25. Abarca C. (G) 3. Aldana D. 20. Amaya J. 17. Araya R. 5. Carrasco I. 8. Cepeda R. 22. Ceron D. 13. Ibarra N. 26. Magalhaes P. 18. Nunez S. 16. Zimmermann K.
Substitutes
14. Antilef E. 12. Cerda J. (G) 15. Gomez J. 16. Martinez B. 13. Martinez W. 26. Painen S. 20. Salaberry S.	11. Arrue J. 12. Escobar B. (G) 21. Herrera J. 19. Lorca J. 15. Navarrete E. 6. Nunez I. 23. Valenzuela L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', Magalhaes P. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Torres M. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Ibarra N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Navarrete C. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
66', Dubo Vergara R. M. 🟨,
70', Dubo Vergara R. M. ↓, Salaberry S. ↑,
71', Magalhaes P. 🟥,
89', 1 - 2, Torres M. (Own goal),
90+2', 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda Division (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

Trasandino has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rengo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Trasandino is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Trasandino won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Trasandino won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trasandino de Los Andes
Chilean Segunda Division
04.05.25	Real San Joaquín - Trasandino de Los Andes	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Trasandino de Los Andes - San Antonio Unido	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Trasandino de Los Andes - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Trasandino de Los Andes - Concón National	4:0 ✺
15.03.25	Provincial Osorno - Trasandino de Los Andes	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWL
- Deportes Rengo
Chilean Segunda Division
04.05.25	Deportes Rengo - Santiago City	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Brujas Salamanca - Deportes Rengo	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	San Antonio Unido - Deportes Rengo	2:0 ✺
07.04.25	Deportes Rengo - Real San Joaquín	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Rengo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
27.07.24	Deportes Rengo - Trasandino de Los Andes	1:0
15.03.24	Trasandino de Los Andes - Deportes Rengo	1:3
05.08.23	Deportes Rengo - Trasandino de Los Andes	2:3
26.03.23	Trasandino de Los Andes - Deportes Rengo	1:1

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