Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 13

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de San Joaquín (Santiago de Chile)


	Real San Joaquín		Trasandino de Los Andes

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.20	2.80
	2.14	3.15	2.85
	2.25	3.38	2.86
	2.23	3.42	2.88	Watch
	2.20	3.30	2.80
	2.22	3.30	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.23)	3.29 ↓ (3.42)	2.85 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real San Joaquín
40.9%

Draw
27.4%

Trasandino de Los Andes
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

26.9%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

26.6%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real San Joaquín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Trasandino de Los Andes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real San Joaquín than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trasandino de Los Andes than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Real San Joaquín - Trasandino de Los Andes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Castellano V. (G) 4. Benavente A. 22. Carreno J. 8. Contreras P. 14. Figueroa B. 25. Gomez J. 16. Gonzalez B. 3. Mancilla N. 28. Maureira D. 2. Navarrete D. 27. Nunez S.	1. Cabello S. (G) 21. Abarca Antil F. A. 11. Araneda B. 6. Carrasco Reyes M. J. 20. Gonzalez M. 10. Quinones J. 14. Riquelme A. 19. Rodriguez A. 7. San Martin T. 3. Sotomayor J. 5. Torres M.
Substitutes
24. Abbruzzese R. 11. Farias I. 13. Fica J. 17. Leger L. 9. Marcotti L. 6. Munoz I. 12. Saul A. (G)	25. Cortes A. 9. Cuvertino E. 16. Letelier Garcia N. I. 27. Navarrete C. 15. Poza L. 12. Reyes M. (G) 17. Silva Alamos M. I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Carreno J. (Penalty Awarded),
25', Carrasco Reyes M. J. 🟨,
31', Contreras P. 🟨,
34', Quinones J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Gonzalez B. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
49', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
67', Maureira D. ↓, Farias I. ↑,
67', Carreno J. ↓, Abbruzzese R. ↑,
68', Gomez J. 🟨,
70', 0 - 1, Navarrete C. ⚽,
71', 🟨,
71', Sotomayor J. 🟨,
74', 🟨,
76', 1 - 1, Figueroa B. ⚽,
76', Riquelme A. ↓, Cuvertino E. ↑,
81', Figueroa B. ↓, Leger L. ↑,
89', Carrasco Reyes M. J. ↓, Letelier Garcia N. I. ↑,
89', Quinones J. ↓, Cortes A. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Cuvertino E. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real San Joaquín won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Real San Joaquín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Real San Joaquín won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real San Joaquín won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Trasandino	6	2	3	1	10:6	4	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real San Joaquín
Chilean Segunda Division
28.06.26	Brujas Salamanca - Real San Joaquín	0:0 ✺
21.06.26	Provincial Ovalle - Real San Joaquín	1:6 ✺
07.06.26	Real San Joaquín - Concón National	0:1 ✺
25.05.26	Santiago City - Real San Joaquín	2:2 ✺
10.05.26	Real San Joaquín - Atlético Colina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWLTL
- Trasandino de Los Andes
Chilean Segunda Division
20.06.26	Trasandino de Los Andes - Santiago City	5:1 ✺
08.06.26	Provincial Ovalle - Trasandino de Los Andes	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Atlético Colina - Trasandino de Los Andes	1:2 ✺
23.05.26	Trasandino de Los Andes - Concón National	1:4 ✺
09.05.26	Brujas Salamanca - Trasandino de Los Andes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Segunda Division
02.05.26	Trasandino de Los Andes - Real San Joaquín	0:0
04.10.25	Trasandino de Los Andes - Real San Joaquín	1:2
04.05.25	Real San Joaquín - Trasandino de Los Andes	1:0
06.10.24	Trasandino de Los Andes - Real San Joaquín	0:1
12.05.24	Real San Joaquín - Trasandino de Los Andes	1:0
23.09.23	Trasandino de Los Andes - Real San Joaquín	4:1
13.05.23	Real San Joaquín - Trasandino de Los Andes	3:1

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