Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Trastevere		Albalonga

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.1
	1.93	3.4	3.34
	2.1	3.45	3.06	Watch
	2.08	3.34	3.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.87)	3.36 ↓ (3.6)	3.15 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trastevere
44.4%

Draw
26.9%

Albalonga
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

25.5%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

24.9%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trastevere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Albalonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trastevere than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trastevere, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albalonga than the current prediction. (-4%)

Trastevere - Albalonga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, ⚽,
88', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trastevere won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Albalonga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Trastevere will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Trastevere won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Trastevere won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Trastevere Calcio	6	3	2	1	8:10	-2	11
9	Albalonga	6	2	2	2	9:9	0	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trastevere Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
03.05.26	Anzio - Trastevere	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Trastevere - Albalonga	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Monastir - Trastevere	2:2 ✺
02.04.26	Trastevere - Scafatese	3:2 ✺
29.03.26	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Trastevere	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWTWL
- ASD Albalonga
Italian Serie D - Group G
26.04.26	Trastevere - Albalonga	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Albalonga - Monastir	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Albalonga - Ischia Isolaverde	3:1 ✺
28.03.26	Atletico Lodigiani - Albalonga	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Albalonga - Latte Dolce	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
26.04.26	Trastevere - Albalonga	3:0
14.12.25	Albalonga - Trastevere	2:2
27.03.19	Albalonga - Trastevere	1:3
14.11.18	Trastevere - Albalonga	1:1
Italian Serie D - Play Offs
20.05.18	Albalonga - Trastevere	3:1 ET
Italian Serie D - Group G
07.01.18	Albalonga - Trastevere	3:2
03.09.17	Trastevere - Albalonga	3:2

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