Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Sarrabus Ogliastra		Afragolese

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.85	2.70
	2.55	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.54)	2.9 (2.9)	2.73 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarrabus Ogliastra
35.7%

Draw
31.2%

Afragolese
33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

30.6%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Sarrabus Ogliastra have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Afragolese have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarrabus Ogliastra than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afragolese than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 15th in the Serie D - Group G (Play Out: ) and 14th in the Serie D - Group G (Play Out: )).

Recent results have been tough for Sarrabus Ogliastra (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Afragolese has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Afragolese	6	1	3	2	5:7	-2	6
15	Sarrabus Ogliastra	6	1	2	3	5:8	-3	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarrabus Ogliastra
Italian Serie D - Group G
04.10.26	Latte Dolce - Sarrabus Ogliastra	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Sarrabus Ogliastra - UniPomezia	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	Albalonga - Sarrabus Ogliastra	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Certosa Vigor Campagnano	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Sarrabus Ogliastra - Monastir	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTTLL
- Afragolese 1944
Italian Serie D - Group G
04.10.26	Afragolese - Ossese	0:2 ✺
27.09.26	Città di Anagni - Afragolese	4:0 ✺
20.09.26	Afragolese - Venafro	4:0 ✺
16.09.26	Paganese - Afragolese	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Afragolese - Sarnese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLWTT

Sarrabus Ogliastra - Afragolese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide