Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 5

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	Tre Penne		Pennarossa

	1	X	2
	1.13	7.19	11.96
	1.15	6.45	12.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 (1.14)	6.82 ↑ (6.53)	12.23 ↑ (10.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tre Penne
79.3%

Draw
13.3%

Pennarossa
7.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.1%

13.6%

8.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tre Penne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Pennarossa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Tre Penne - Pennarossa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 3.

Pennarossa is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tre Penne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tre Penne is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 31:6. (average 2.2:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Tre Penne won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tre Penne
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
28.09.25	La Fiorita - Tre Penne	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Tre Penne - San Marino Academy U22	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Faetano - Tre Penne	0:6 ✺
29.08.25	Tre Penne - Fiorentino	2:0 ✺
06.05.25	Cosmos - Tre Penne	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWWWL
- SS Pennarossa
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
28.09.25	Faetano - Pennarossa	1:2 ✺
San Marino Coppa Titano
24.09.25	Pennarossa - Tre Fiori	1:1 ✺
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
19.09.25	Pennarossa - Virtus	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Fiorentino - Pennarossa	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Pennarossa - Domagnano	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.1 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
26.01.25	Pennarossa - Tre Penne	0:0
22.09.24	Tre Penne - Pennarossa	0:0
17.02.24	Pennarossa - Tre Penne	0:5
21.10.23	Tre Penne - Pennarossa	3:2
15.04.23	Tre Penne - Pennarossa	2:0
08.01.23	Pennarossa - Tre Penne	1:4
San Marino Coppa Titano
19.10.22	Pennarossa - Tre Penne	1:4

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