The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Treasure Beach 24.1%
Draw 28%
Molynes United 47.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.6%
26.9%
40.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.4%
27.9%
42%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Treasure Beach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Treasure Beach's form might have worsened.
Molynes United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Molynes United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treasure Beach than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Treasure Beach, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molynes United than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Molynes United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
100%
0%
Treasure Beach - Molynes United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 0 - 1, Pennicooke M. ⚽,
63', 0 - 2, Murray O. ⚽,
Preview
Treasure Beach is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Molynes has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Treasure Beach may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Molynes has had a series of home games.
Molynes could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Treasure Beach won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Treasure Beach won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Molynes
4
1
0
3
4:11
-7
3
12
Treasure Beach
4
0
2
2
4:7
-3
2
Last Results with these Odds
Molynes United - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 40.55%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.