Match Info

Premier League - Round 3

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Waterhouse Mini Stadium (Kingston)


	Waterhouse		Treasure Beach

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.00	2.95	Watch
	1.82	3.32	3.80
	1.5	4.14	6.1	Watch
	1.80	3.25	3.35
	1.86	3.40	3.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.49)	3.42 ↓ (3.97)	3.96 ↓ (5.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waterhouse
49.9%

Draw
26.9%

Treasure Beach
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

22.8%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waterhouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Waterhouse's form might have worsened.

Treasure Beach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Treasure Beach's recent form is better than expected.

Waterhouse - Treasure Beach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Murray C. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Simms M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Waterhouse could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Waterhouse as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Waterhouse has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 10:5 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Waterhouse against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:3 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Waterhouse	3	3	0	0	13:0	13	9
12	Treasure Beach	4	0	2	2	4:7	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Waterhouse FC
Jamaica National Premier League
21.09.26	Humble Lions - Waterhouse	0:5 ✺
13.05.26	Waterhouse - Cavalier	0:2 ✺
10.05.26	Cavalier - Waterhouse	2:2 ✺
06.05.26	Waterhouse - Dunbeholden	4:0 ✺
03.05.26	Waterhouse - Chapelton Maroons	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTWW
- Treasure Beach FC
Jamaica National Premier League
20.09.26	Treasure Beach - Tivoli Gardens	1:1 ✺
14.09.26	Molynes United - Treasure Beach	3:2 ✺
06.05.26	Treasure Beach - Molynes United	0:2 ✺
03.05.26	Montego Bay United - Treasure Beach	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Treasure Beach - Tivoli Gardens	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
23.04.26	Waterhouse - Treasure Beach	1:2
01.02.26	Waterhouse - Treasure Beach	1:0
12.10.25	Treasure Beach - Waterhouse	0:0
20.03.24	Treasure Beach - Waterhouse	2:4
18.12.23	Waterhouse - Treasure Beach	4:1

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