Match Info

SWEDEN: SUPERETTAN - ROUND 29

Date: 30 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Vångavallen (Trelleborg)

Referee: Lindgren M. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Trelleborg		Brommapojkarna

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.75	2.9	Watch
	2.15	3.4	2.9
	2.16	3.7	2.95
	2.2	3.45	2.85
	2.18	3.84	3.06
	2.2	3.3	2.8	Watch
	2.22	3.7	3	Watch
	2.22	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.67)	3.58 ↑ (3.55)	2.92 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trelleborg
42.4%

Draw
25.9%

Brommapojkarna
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

26.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

26.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trelleborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trelleborg's performance.

Brommapojkarna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brommapojkarna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trelleborg than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trelleborg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brommapojkarna than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brommapojkarna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	9.1%	36.4%

Trelleborg - Brommapojkarna Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Trelleborg will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Brommapojkarna will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Trelleborg: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).

Brommapojkarna is Qualified for Allsvenskan

Last 5 head-to-head matches Trelleborg won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Trelleborg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Trelleborg won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Trelleborg won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trelleborgs FF
Swedish Superettan
22.10.22	Östersund - Trelleborg	2:0 ✺
17.10.22	Trelleborg - Örebro	2:1 ✺
08.10.22	Skövde AIK - Trelleborg	3:1 ✺
03.10.22	Trelleborg - Jönköpings Södra	1:3 ✺
18.09.22	Brage - Trelleborg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWLLW
- IF Brommapojkarna
Swedish Superettan
25.10.22	Brommapojkarna - Brage	3:2 ✺
15.10.22	Norrby - Brommapojkarna	0:3 ✺
09.10.22	Brommapojkarna - Utsikten	0:1 ✺
04.10.22	Öster - Brommapojkarna	4:1 ✺
17.09.22	Jönköpings Södra - Brommapojkarna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
07.05.22	Brommapojkarna - Trelleborg	4:2
13.12.20	Trelleborg - Brommapojkarna	2:1 penalties
09.12.20	Brommapojkarna - Trelleborg	1:1
11.08.19	Trelleborg - Brommapojkarna	1:1
02.06.19	Brommapojkarna - Trelleborg	2:3
Swedish Allsvenskan
11.11.18	Brommapojkarna - Trelleborg	3:0
24.05.18	Trelleborg - Brommapojkarna	2:1

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