Match Info

Superettan - Round 21

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Domnarvsvallen (Borlange)

Referee: Sjoberg K. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 7, TV4 Play


	Brage		Trelleborg

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3.5	2.9
	2.15	3.6	3	Watch
	2.27	3.69	3.19
	2.25	3.34	3.06	Watch
	2.15	3.3	2.9
	2.12	3.64	3.18	Watch
	1.87	3.9	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.89)	3.55 ↓ (3.87)	3.1 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brage
43.5%

Draw
26.3%

Trelleborg
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

24.3%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

23.4%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brage has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brage's form might have worsened.

Trelleborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brage than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brage, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trelleborg than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Brage - Trelleborg Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brage (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Trelleborg (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Brage will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Brage (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Trelleborg (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Frodig V. (G) 21. Ostberg N. 2. Zetterstrom A. 5. Konjuhi L. 22. Weilid C. 10. Berggren G. 19. Brkic H. 8. Stensson J. 20. Nordh G. 33. Muhsin A. 9. Trpcevski F.	12. Nilsson M. (G) 20. Horberg F. 19. Karlsson T. 5. Ogwuche A. 15. Godwin E. 13. Engstrom H. 24. Christiansson V. 10. Vidjeskog A. 22. Martinsson F. 45. Dalugge Z. 17. Bohman F.
Substitutes
23. Astrand John N. 13. Engdahl A. (G) 17. Jonsson P. 6. Larsen M. 11. Lundin A. 15. Stark O. 3. Walemark T.	7. Andersson J. 16. Asani A. 30. Astor V. (G) 14. Nehme A. 8. Ruuska O. 3. Weberg C. 37. Wendt K.
Coaches
Mian J.	Haynes K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Dalugge Z. ⚽, Martinsson F. (A),
35', Christiansson V. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ostberg N. ↓, Astrand John N. ↑,
59', Christiansson V. 🟨,
62', Dalugge Z. ↓, Wendt K. ↑,
69', Stensson J. ↓, Lundin A. ↑,
69', Brkic H. ↓, Larsen M. ↑,
73', Bohman F. ↓, Weberg C. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Lundin A. ⚽, Astrand John N. (A),
85', Martinsson F. ↓, Asani A. ↑,
85', Vidjeskog A. ↓, Andersson J. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Larsen M. ⚽,
90+1', Lundin A. 🟨,
90+2', Nordh G. ↓, Jonsson P. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 14 in the zone Superettan (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brage won 2.

Brage has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Trelleborg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Brage may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Brage has had a series of away games.

Brage could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Brage won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Brage won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Brage
Swedish Superettan
23.08.25	Örgryte - Brage	2:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
19.08.25	Karlberg - Brage	2:3 ET ✺
Swedish Superettan
16.08.25	Brage - Västerås SK	3:1 ✺
09.08.25	Falkenberg - Brage	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Sandviken - Brage	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.1 TWWWW
- Trelleborgs FF
Swedish Superettan
25.08.25	Trelleborg - Landskrona	1:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
20.08.25	Lunds - Trelleborg	2:3 ✺
Swedish Superettan
15.08.25	Oddevold - Trelleborg	3:2 ✺
10.08.25	Trelleborg - Umeå	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Trelleborg - Kalmar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
20.04.25	Trelleborg - Brage	0:1
19.10.24	Brage - Trelleborg	1:0
17.06.24	Trelleborg - Brage	1:0
16.09.23	Brage - Trelleborg	1:1
05.06.23	Trelleborg - Brage	1:0
18.09.22	Brage - Trelleborg	1:2
30.04.22	Trelleborg - Brage	2:2

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