Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 15

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Vångavallen (Trelleborg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Trelleborg		Lunds

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.63	3.70	4.20
	1.63	3.65	4.20
	1.70	3.94	4.37
	1.72	3.97	4.26	Watch
	1.67	3.90	4.20
	1.71	3.89	4.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.64)	3.84 ↓ (3.85)	4.27 ↓ (4.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trelleborg
54.7%

Draw
23.9%

Lunds
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

23.7%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

22.8%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trelleborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Lunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trelleborg than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lunds than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Trelleborg - Lunds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pahlsson M. (G) 6. Asani A. 22. Bergmark N. 2. Brannefalk J. 17. Ellbring I. 21. Gabrielsson O. 18. Modig J. 23. Poppler V. 8. Ruuska O. 3. Sverrisson O. 10. Tipura S.	1. Alexandersson A. (C) 15. Bath Saganger G. 14. Jacobsson J. 17. Lindfors S. 10. Lindman E. 11. Mehmedagic A. 3. Nicklasson L. 7. Nilsson A. 26. Orajarvi I. 2. Velickovic B. 20. Wihlborg Costa A.
Substitutes
7. Christiansen J. 20. Fosuhene Asare K. 9. Jaf E. 15. Karlsson V. 25. Lofberg E. 30. Malmgren W. (G) 4. Rehn A.	18. Akdemir F. 4. Elwan H. 32. Fordham T. (G) 8. Getachew J. 25. Mehmeti A. 16. Olofsson D. 12. Strid J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Asani A. 🟨,
36', Nicklasson L. 🟨,
36', Poppler V. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Ruuska O. ⚽, Gabrielsson O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 1 - 1, Lindfors S. ⚽,
53', Asani A. ↓, Christiansen J. ↑,
53', Tipura S. ↓, Jaf E. ↑,
61', Ellbring I. ↓, Fosuhene Asare K. ↑,
65', Mehmedagic A. ↓, Akdemir F. ↑,
77', Wihlborg Costa A. ↓, Strid J. ↑,
80', Brannefalk J. ↓, Karlsson V. ↑,
82', 2 - 1, Gabrielsson O. ⚽,
86', Jacobsson J. ↓, Getachew J. ↑,
86', Bath Saganger G. ↓, Olofsson D. ↑,
88', 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, Getachew J. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Superettan and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trelleborg won 3.

Trelleborg is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lunds has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Trelleborg is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Trelleborg won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Trelleborg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Trelleborg	25	16	6	3	55:28	27	54
4	Lunds	25	11	8	6	46:29	17	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trelleborgs FF
Swedish Division 1 Södra
26.06.26	Kristianstad - Trelleborg	0:0 ✺
18.06.26	Trelleborg - Rosengård 1917	3:2 ✺
14.06.26	Hässleholm - Trelleborg	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.06.26	Trelleborg - Öster	1:2 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Södra
07.06.26	Trelleborg - Skövde AIK	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWWLW
- Lunds BK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
27.06.26	Lunds - Skövde AIK	2:1 ✺
18.06.26	Jönköpings Södra - Lunds	0:0 ✺
12.06.26	Lunds - AFC Malmö	1:4 ✺
07.06.26	Kristianstad - Lunds	1:1 ✺
03.06.26	Olympic - Lunds	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
20.08.25	Lunds - Trelleborg	2:3
Club Friendly
26.02.20	Lunds - Trelleborg	2:2
Swedish Division 1 Södra
07.09.15	Lunds - Trelleborg	1:2
06.07.15	Trelleborg - Lunds	4:0
12.10.14	Lunds - Trelleborg	2:1
Club Friendly
01.03.14	Trelleborg - Lunds	0:3

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