Match Info

Division 1 - Södra - Round 12

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday

Location: Klostergardens Idrottsplats (Lund)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Lunds		AFC Malmö

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.10	3.40	2.80
	2.15	3.6	2.88	Watch
	2.14	3.65	2.95
	2.12	3.93	2.9	Watch
	2.05	3.4	2.8
	2.1	3.58	2.91	Watch
	2.25	3.15	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.32)	3.53 ↑ (3.33)	2.83 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lunds
42.5%

Draw
25.6%

AFC Malmö
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

27.1%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

27.5%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

AFC Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lunds than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Malmö than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Lunds - AFC Malmö Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alexandersson A. (C) 18. Akdemir F. 99. Bojang M. 14. Jacobsson J. 21. Kolle D. T. 17. Lindfors S. 10. Lindman E. 3. Nicklasson L. 7. Nilsson A. 2. Velickovic B. 20. Wihlborg Costa A.	31. Martensson P. (G) 30. Awad A. 19. Fatahi M. 5. Larsen L. 21. Martinsson F. 6. Nouri B. (C) 17. Podrimcaku A. 11. Reinholdsson A. 10. Reuterskiold A. 99. Sener C. 3. Sjostrand Bjurnemark A.
Substitutes
4. Elwan H. 6. Falk A. 32. Fordham T. (G) 11. Mehmedagic A. 9. Nygaard A. 16. Olofsson D. 23. Wendt R.	22. Alievski E. 77. Castro V. 36. Christiansson V. 7. Eliassi E. 8. Harletun K. 2. Karim S. 20. Sinanov N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
30', 0 - 1, Awad A. ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, Reuterskiold A. ⚽,
45', 0 - 3, Awad A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kolle D. T. ↓, Elwan H. ↑,
58', Akdemir F. ↓, Mehmedagic A. ↑,
58', Wihlborg Costa A. ↓, Nygaard A. ↑,
67', 1 - 3, Mehmedagic A. ⚽,
68', Lindfors S. ↓, Olofsson D. ↑,
69', Reinholdsson A. 🟨,
72', Awad A. ↓, Castro V. ↑,
72', Reinholdsson A. ↓, Eliassi E. ↑,
72', Reuterskiold A. ↓, Harletun K. ↑,
82', Sener C. ↓, Karim S. ↑,
87', Fatahi M. ↓, Christiansson V. ↑,
89', 1 - 4, Castro V. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 ~ Norra (Relegation: ) and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lunds won 2.

Lunds is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

AFC Malmö has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Lunds won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Lunds won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Lunds	25	11	8	6	46:29	17	41
5	AFC Malmo	25	11	8	6	45:35	10	41

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lunds BK
Swedish Division 1 Södra
07.06.26	Kristianstad - Lunds	1:1 ✺
03.06.26	Olympic - Lunds	1:3 ✺
22.05.26	Lunds - Eskilsminne	4:2 ✺
17.05.26	Lunds - Utsikten	5:0 ✺
13.05.26	Laholms - Lunds	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TWWWL
- AFC Malmö
Swedish Division 1 Södra
07.06.26	AFC Malmö - Eskilsminne	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	AFC Malmö - Laholms	4:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
26.05.26	Olympic - AFC Malmö	5:3 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Södra
23.05.26	Skövde AIK - AFC Malmö	0:4 ✺
18.05.26	AFC Malmö - Tvååker	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Södra
03.10.25	AFC Malmö - Lunds	0:1
28.04.25	Lunds - AFC Malmö	0:0
10.08.24	Lunds - AFC Malmö	1:1
05.05.24	AFC Malmö - Lunds	3:1
01.09.23	Lunds - AFC Malmö	3:0
08.04.23	AFC Malmö - Lunds	0:0

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