Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 9

Date: 18 June 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Trem		São Francisco Rio Branco

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.5	8.5
	1.31	4.55	7.4
	1.25	4.33	10
	1.29	4.9	9.6
	1.3	4.5	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (2.13)	4.56 ↓ (5.5)	9 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trem
70.1%

Draw
19.8%

São Francisco Rio Branco
10%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.9%

16.2%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

15.6%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trem's performance.

São Francisco Rio Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-31.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Francisco Rio Branco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trem than the current prediction. (-29.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trem that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Francisco Rio Branco than the current prediction. (+33.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Francisco Rio Branco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Trem - São Francisco Rio Branco Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Trem will win (votes: 4 - 80%). São Francisco will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 and 7).

Recent matches Trem is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

São Francisco is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Trem is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Trem won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trem Desportivo Clube
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.23	Águia de Marabá - Trem	0:0 ✺
11.06.23	Trem - Águia de Marabá	0:1 ✺
08.06.23	São Francisco Rio Branco - Trem	1:0 ✺
05.06.23	Trem - Princesa do Solimões	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Amapaense
31.05.23	Macapá - Trem	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLLTW
- São Francisco Rio Branco
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.23	São Francisco Rio Branco - Nacional AM	0:3 ✺
11.06.23	Nacional AM - São Francisco Rio Branco	2:0 ✺
08.06.23	São Francisco Rio Branco - Trem	1:0 ✺
04.06.23	São Francisco Rio Branco - Humaitá	1:4 ✺
29.05.23	Águia de Marabá - São Francisco Rio Branco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
08.06.23	São Francisco Rio Branco - Trem	1:0

Trem - São Francisco Rio Branco