The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Águia de Marabá 80.2%
Draw 13.8%
São Francisco Rio Branco 6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.3%
23.8%
17.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.9%
22.4%
16.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Águia de Marabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Águia de Marabá's performance.
São Francisco Rio Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Francisco Rio Branco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (-18.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Águia de Marabá that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Francisco Rio Branco than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Francisco Rio Branco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7).
Águia de Marabá is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches São Francisco is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
São Francisco could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Águia de Marabá is indisputable favorite.
Our prediction for today's Águia de Marabá to win the game is with odds 1.3.
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