Match Info

Nike liga - Relegation - Final

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Štadión na Sihoti (Trenčín)

Referee: Kruzliak I. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Dajto, Voyo


	Trenčín		Zlaté Moravce-Vrable

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.33	5.75
	1.45	4.3	6.2
	1.43	4.51	6.08
	1.46	4.55	6.28
	1.45	4.4	6.95
	1.45	4.3	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.58)	4.4 ↑ (4.05)	6.24 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trenčín
64%

Draw
21.1%

Zlaté Moravce-Vrable
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

22.9%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

22.2%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trenčín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trenčín's performance.

Zlaté Moravce-Vrable has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trenčín than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zlaté Moravce-Vrable than the current prediction. (+3%)

Trenčín - Zlaté Moravce Vrable Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Slavicek M. (G) 25. Skovajsa L. 4. Bondarenko T. 29. Bessile L. 14. Holubek J. (C) 16. Goss S. 20. Gajdos A. 6. Hajovsky T. 77. Suleiman S. 9. Emeka C. 18. Fiala A.	31. Toth G. (G) 22. Sula S. 4. Helebrand M. 5. Mrva M. 21. Kadlec J. 14. Duga D. 34. Gressak L. (C) 10. Nonikashvili L. 11. Baumgartner D. 29. Kuzma M. 16. Mondek K.
Substitutes
2. Bagin S. 27. Baris D. 10. Ben Sallam S. 7. Jude S. 1. Katic A. (G) 17. Khan M. 13. Nsumoh J. 90. Pavek H. 8. Yakubu A.	45. Balaj F. 20. Donkor B. 6. Gono M. 89. Halo M. 37. Hodur S. 77. Kostal M. 72. Pichna J. (G) 9. Smiga D. 30. Starecek R.
Coaches
Galad I.	Hudec R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Skovajsa L. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Kadlec J. ⚽, Sula S. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, Emeka C. ⚽,
57', Gressak L. ↓, Donkor B. ↑,
58', Baumgartner D. ↓, Halo M. ↑,
60', Mondek K. ↓, Balaj F. ↑,
62', Donkor B. 🟨,
63', 3 - 1, Gajdos A. (Pen),
68', Suleiman S. 🟨,
74', Gajdos A. ↓, Yakubu A. ↑,
79', Emeka C. ↓, Khan M. ↑,
81', Holubek J. 🟨,
81', Donkor B. ↓, Smiga D. ↑,
82', Kuzma M. 🟨,
83', Kadlec J. 🟨,
87', Fiala A. ↓, Ben Sallam S. ↑,
88', Slavicek M. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 2, Helebrand M. ⚽,
90+5', 4 - 2, Khan M. ⚽, Suleiman S. (A),

Preview

1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trenčín won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Trenčín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Trenčín is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Trenčín won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:24. (average 1.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Trenčín won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:8. (average 2.7:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK AS Trenčín
Slovak Superliga
20.05.25	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - Trenčín	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Trenčín - Skalica	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Ružomberok - Trenčín	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Komárno - Trenčín	0:0 ✺
25.04.25	Trenčín - Dukla Banská Bystrica	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWLTT
- FC Zlaté Moravce-Vrable
Slovak Superliga
20.05.25	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - Trenčín	1:1 ✺
Slovak 2 Liga
16.05.25	Zvolen - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	1:0 ✺
09.05.25	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - Púchov	1:2 ✺
02.05.25	Dynamo Malženice - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	1:5 ✺
25.04.25	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - Slovan Bratislava II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Superliga
20.05.25	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - Trenčín	1:1
Club Friendly
10.07.24	Trenčín - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	1:1
Slovak Superliga
18.05.24	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - Trenčín	2:2
13.04.24	Trenčín - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	4:0
16.12.23	Trenčín - Zlaté Moravce-Vrable	4:1
17.09.23	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - Trenčín	1:2
12.05.23	Zlaté Moravce-Vrable - Trenčín	1:2

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