Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 10

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday


	Tres Cantos		Alcalá

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.05
	3.25	3.2	2.09
	3.29	3.15	2.12
	3.3	3.18	2.13
	3.41	3.25	2.01
	3.25	3.2	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (3.97)	3.2 ↓ (3.4)	2.08 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tres Cantos
27.7%

Draw
28.5%

Alcalá
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

26.7%

50.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

26.3%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tres Cantos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcalá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tres Cantos than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tres Cantos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcalá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tres Cantos - Alcalá Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 1 - 0, Merchan G. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Lopez D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 2 - 1, Arkine A. ⚽,
62', 3 - 1, Cano A. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tres Cantos won 2.

Recent matches Tres Cantos is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alcalá is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alcalá will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Tres Cantos won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.5:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Tres Cantos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDF Tres Cantos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
03.11.24	Rayo Vallecano B - Tres Cantos	3:1 ✺
27.10.24	Tres Cantos - Leganés B	2:2 ✺
20.10.24	Cala Pozuelo - Tres Cantos	0:2 ✺
13.10.24	Carabanchel - Tres Cantos	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Tres Cantos - El Álamo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTWLW
- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
03.11.24	Alcalá - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
27.10.24	El Álamo - Alcalá	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	Alcalá - Collado Villalba	1:2 ✺
13.10.24	Galapagar - Alcalá	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	Alcalá - Trival Valderas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
24.03.24	Alcalá - Tres Cantos	1:2
05.11.23	Tres Cantos - Alcalá	0:1
16.03.22	Alcalá - Tres Cantos	1:0
17.11.21	Tres Cantos - Alcalá	1:0
13.01.19	Alcalá - Tres Cantos	0:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
17.12.17	Tres Cantos - Alcalá	0:1

Upcoming Matches