Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Tres Cantos		Pozuelo de Alarcón

	1	X	2
	2.4	3	2.78
	2.39	3.19	2.86	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.8
	2.37	3.04	2.86
	2.6	3	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.54)	3.01 ↓ (3.25)	2.78 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tres Cantos
37.1%

Draw
30.3%

Pozuelo de Alarcón
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

28.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tres Cantos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Pozuelo de Alarcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tres Cantos than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pozuelo de Alarcón than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Tres Cantos - Pozuelo de Alarcón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Reguilon M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
69', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 6).

Recent performances by Tres Cantos have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pozuelo de Alarcón is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tres Cantos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tres Cantos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tres Cantos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Pozuelo de Alarcon	5	1	3	1	7:10	-3	6

Last Results with these Odds

Tres Cantos - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 35.95%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDF Tres Cantos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
03.01.26	Leganés B - Tres Cantos	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Tres Cantos - Trival Valderas	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Torrejón - Tres Cantos	1:0 ✺
07.12.25	Tres Cantos - Parla	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Alcorcón B - Tres Cantos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWLWL
- CF Pozuelo de Alarcón
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
04.01.26	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Carabanchel	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Móstoles URJC - Pozuelo de Alarcón	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Pozuelo de Alarcón - San Sebastian Reyes B	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Racing Madrid - Pozuelo de Alarcón	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Las Rozas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
18.02.24	Tres Cantos - Pozuelo de Alarcón	3:0
01.10.23	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Tres Cantos	2:0
20.03.22	Tres Cantos - Pozuelo de Alarcón	2:0
21.11.21	Pozuelo de Alarcón - Tres Cantos	2:1

Tres Cantos - Pozuelo de Alarcón: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide