Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 24

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Tres Cantos		San Sebastian Reyes B

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.92	2.28
	3.38	2.94	2.23
	3.24	3.25	2.15	Watch
	3.4	2.75	2.2
	3.38	2.84	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.95)	2.94 ↓ (2.99)	2.21 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tres Cantos
27.7%

Draw
31%

San Sebastian Reyes B
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

30.3%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

30.9%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tres Cantos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

San Sebastian Reyes B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tres Cantos than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Sebastian Reyes B than the current prediction. (-3%)

Tres Cantos - San Sebastian Reyes B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
28', 0 - 1, ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, ⚽,
41', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
54', 0 - 4, ⚽,
74', 0 - 5, ⚽,
79', 0 - 6, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Tres Cantos is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

SS Reyes B has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tres Cantos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	San Sebastian Reyes B	5	1	0	4	7:13	-6	3

Last Results with these Odds

Tres Cantos - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 30.74%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDF Tres Cantos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
22.02.26	Racing Madrid - Tres Cantos	4:2 ✺
15.02.26	Tres Cantos - Las Rozas	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Unión Adarve - Tres Cantos	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Tres Cantos - Villaverde San Andrés	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Atlético Madrid C - Tres Cantos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWLL
- San Sebastian Reyes B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
22.02.26	San Sebastian Reyes B - Carabanchel	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Móstoles URJC - San Sebastian Reyes B	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Galapagar - San Sebastian Reyes B	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	San Sebastian Reyes B - Racing Madrid	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Las Rozas - San Sebastian Reyes B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
19.10.25	San Sebastian Reyes B - Tres Cantos	2:1

Tres Cantos - San Sebastian Reyes B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide