Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Tres Cantos		Las Rozas

	1	X	2
	3.95	3.2	1.82
	4.12	3.19	1.89
	7.02	4.82	1.37	Watch
	4	3	1.85
	4.01	3.18	1.86
	4	3.14	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.52 ↑ (3.5)	3.42 ↑ (3.4)	1.78 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tres Cantos
20.6%

Draw
27.1%

Las Rozas
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

26.7%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

26.1%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tres Cantos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tres Cantos's form might have worsened.

Las Rozas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tres Cantos than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Rozas than the current prediction. (-4%)

Tres Cantos - Las Rozas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
26', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tres Cantos won 2.

Recent form of Tres Cantos has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Las Rozas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Las Rozas is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Tres Cantos won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:19. (average 0.9:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tres Cantos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Las Rozas	5	3	1	1	11:6	5	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDF Tres Cantos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
08.02.26	Unión Adarve - Tres Cantos	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Tres Cantos - Villaverde San Andrés	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Atlético Madrid C - Tres Cantos	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Tres Cantos - Siello	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Tres Cantos - Pozuelo de Alarcón	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLLLL
- Las Rozas CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
08.02.26	Las Rozas - Carabanchel	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Móstoles URJC - Las Rozas	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Las Rozas - San Sebastian Reyes B	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Racing Madrid - Las Rozas	0:3 ✺
11.01.26	Las Rozas - Galapagar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7
05.10.25	Las Rozas - Tres Cantos	9:1
17.04.25	Las Rozas - Tres Cantos	2:1
08.12.24	Tres Cantos - Las Rozas	0:1
27.04.24	Tres Cantos - Las Rozas	1:0
17.12.23	Las Rozas - Tres Cantos	1:2
24.04.22	Tres Cantos - Las Rozas	2:0
09.02.22	Las Rozas - Tres Cantos	1:1

Tres Cantos - Las Rozas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide