Match Info

Date: 4 December 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Trestina		Lornano Badesse

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.3
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	2.06	3	3.2
	1.98	3.01	3.19
	2.14	2.9	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.39)	3.02 ↓ (3.05)	3.31 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trestina
43.6%

Draw
29.5%

Lornano Badesse
26.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.3%

30%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

20.7%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trestina's performance.

Lornano Badesse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trestina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lornano Badesse than the current prediction. (+19%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lornano Badesse could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Trestina - Lornano Badesse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs).

Trestina is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lornano Badesse is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Trestina will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Trestina won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Trestina won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Trestina
Italian Serie D - Group E
28.11.21	UniPomezia - Trestina	0:1 ✺
20.11.21	Trestina - Cannara	3:1 ✺
14.11.21	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Trestina	0:0 ✺
07.11.21	Trestina - Pianese	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.11.21	Trestina - Foligno	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWTWL
- ASD Lornano Badesse
Italian Serie D - Group E
28.11.21	Lornano Badesse - Rieti	2:0 ✺
21.11.21	Cascina Valdera - Lornano Badesse	0:1 ✺
14.11.21	Lornano Badesse - UniPomezia	4:2 ✺
07.11.21	Lornano Badesse - Cannara	0:0 ✺
31.10.21	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Lornano Badesse	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
02.05.21	Trestina - Lornano Badesse	1:1

Trestina - Lornano Badesse

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Trestina - Lornano Badesse Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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