Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 9

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Trestina		Santegidiese

	1	X	2
	2.50	3.10	2.45
	3.05	2.95	2.2
	2.49	3.3	2.58	Watch
	2.55	2.9	2.45
	2.41	3.13	2.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (3.1)	3.08 ↑ (3)	2.45 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trestina
34.4%

Draw
29.1%

Santegidiese
36.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.2%

30.2%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

28.2%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trestina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trestina's performance.

Santegidiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santegidiese than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Trestina - Santegidiese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
41', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 13th).

Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.

Trestina could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Santegidiese	9	2	2	5	8:13	-5	8
17	Trestina	9	2	1	6	6:14	-8	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Trestina
Italian Serie D - Group F
17.10.26	Pietralunghese - Trestina	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Trestina - Teramo	0:2 ✺
04.10.26	Ancona - Trestina	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Trestina - Termoli	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Atletico Ascoli - Trestina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- Santegidiese Calcio SSD
Italian Serie D - Group F
18.10.26	Santegidiese - Vigor Senigallia	0:2 ✺
11.10.26	L Aquila - Santegidiese	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Santegidiese - Giulianova	1:3 ✺
27.09.26	Maceratese - Santegidiese	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Santegidiese - Angelana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLTW

Trestina - Santegidiese