Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Santegidiese		Vigor Senigallia

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.00	2.70
	2.40	2.92	2.75
	2.44	3.09	2.78	Watch
	2.40	2.95	2.70
	2.38	3.06	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 (2.4)	3 ↑ (2.92)	2.72 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santegidiese
37.3%

Draw
29.8%

Vigor Senigallia
32.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.1%

30.5%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

30.8%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santegidiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Vigor Senigallia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santegidiese than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vigor Senigallia than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Santegidiese - Vigor Senigallia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 11th and 5th in the Promotion - Serie D - Group F Playoffs).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Vigor Senigallia	9	5	1	3	17:17	0	16
14	Santegidiese	9	2	2	5	8:13	-5	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santegidiese Calcio SSD
Italian Serie D - Group F
11.10.26	L Aquila - Santegidiese	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Santegidiese - Giulianova	1:3 ✺
27.09.26	Maceratese - Santegidiese	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Santegidiese - Angelana	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Santegidiese - Recanatese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLTWT
- FC Vigor Senigallia
Italian Serie D - Group F
11.10.26	Vigor Senigallia - Atletico Ascoli	1:2 ✺
04.10.26	Teramo - Vigor Senigallia	6:4 ✺
27.09.26	Vigor Senigallia - Fossombrone	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Termoli - Vigor Senigallia	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Vigor Senigallia - Giulianova	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTWW

Santegidiese - Vigor Senigallia