Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP C - ROUND 16

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Treviso		Atletico Castegnato

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.6	5.25
	1.51	3.91	5.27
	1.52	3.91	5.27
	1.44	3.75	5.5
	1.51	3.9	5.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.7)	3.81 ↑ (3.68)	5.35 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treviso
59.7%

Draw
23.5%

Atletico Castegnato
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

24.7%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

23.9%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treviso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Treviso's performance.

Atletico Castegnato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atletico Castegnato might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treviso than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Castegnato than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group C (Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group C (Play Out: )).

Recent matches Treviso is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Castegnato is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Treviso is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treviso
Italian Serie D - Group C
10.12.23	Chions - Treviso	1:3 ✺
03.12.23	Treviso - Luparense	2:1 ✺
26.11.23	Montebelluna - Treviso	1:2 ✺
19.11.23	Treviso - Dolomiti Bellunesi	0:3 ✺
12.11.23	Bassano Virtus - Treviso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLL
- Atletico Castegnato
Italian Serie D - Group C
10.12.23	Montecchio Maggiore - Atletico Castegnato	3:1 ✺
03.12.23	Atletico Castegnato - Chions	3:1 ✺
26.11.23	Virtus Bolzano - Atletico Castegnato	1:1 ✺
19.11.23	Atletico Castegnato - Montebelluna	0:1 ✺
12.11.23	Portogruaro Summaga - Atletico Castegnato	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treviso
Italian Serie C Group A
11.10.26	Treviso - Ospitaletto	✺

Treviso - Atletico Castegnato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide