Match Info

Serie D - Group C - Round 31

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday


	Treviso		Conegliano

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.2	4.55
	1.78	3.27	4.07
	1.71	3.37	4.72	Watch
	1.75	3	4.5
	1.88	3.24	4.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.53)	3.22 ↓ (3.6)	4.44 ↓ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treviso
51.3%

Draw
28.2%

Conegliano
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

25.5%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

26.8%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treviso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Treviso's form might have worsened.

Conegliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Conegliano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treviso than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Treviso, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Conegliano than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Conegliano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Treviso - Conegliano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 1 - 0, Brevi T. ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, Nicoloso L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 1 - 2, Guizzini N. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 9).

Treviso has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Conegliano is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Treviso is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Treviso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Conegliano	6	2	1	3	3:7	-4	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treviso
Italian Serie D - Group C
02.04.26	Altavilla - Treviso	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Treviso - Obermais	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Treviso - Luparense	0:4 ✺
15.03.26	Cjarlins Muzane - Treviso	1:1 ✺
02.03.26	Treviso - Union Clodiense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLTW
- Conegliano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group C
02.04.26	Conegliano - Union Clodiense	3:2 ✺
29.03.26	Legnago Salus - Conegliano	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Conegliano - Calvi Noale	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Brian Lignano - Conegliano	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Conegliano - Bassano Virtus	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
30.11.25	Conegliano - Treviso	2:1

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