The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Treviso 63.1%
Draw 22.1%
Mori Santo Stefano 14.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.7%
22%
15.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44%
15.4%
21.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Treviso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Mori Santo Stefano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treviso than the current prediction. (-19.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Treviso that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mori Santo Stefano than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mori Santo Stefano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group C (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
Treviso is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Mori Santo Stefano has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
In this match Treviso is indisputable favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Treviso won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.