Match Info

Serie D - Group C - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Treviso		Adriese

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.15	9.2
	1.23	5.12	11.9	Watch
	1.2	5	14
	1.22	5	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (2.29)	5.07 ↑ (3.48)	11.78 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Treviso
74.3%

Draw
17.9%

Adriese
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

24.3%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treviso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+34.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Treviso's performance.

Adriese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-26.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adriese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treviso than the current prediction. (-31.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Treviso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adriese than the current prediction. (+24.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adriese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Treviso - Adriese Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Adriese (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Adriese (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Gucher R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 2 - 0, Salvi M. ⚽,
77', 🟥,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group C (Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Treviso won 1.

Treviso has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Adriese's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Treviso is the obvious favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Treviso won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Treviso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treviso
Italian Serie D - Group C
11.01.26	Vigasio - Treviso	1:3 ✺
04.01.26	Treviso - Portogruaro Summaga	4:0 ✺
21.12.25	Treviso - Mestre	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Este - Treviso	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Treviso - San Luigi	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWW
- US Adriese
Italian Serie D - Group C
11.01.26	Adriese - Legnago Salus	1:5 ✺
04.01.26	Luparense - Adriese	4:0 ✺
20.12.25	Brian Lignano - Adriese	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Adriese - Union Clodiense	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Campodarsego - Adriese	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
20.09.25	Adriese - Treviso	1:3
25.05.25	Treviso - Adriese	1:3
29.01.25	Treviso - Adriese	0:1
02.10.24	Adriese - Treviso	3:0
25.02.24	Treviso - Adriese	0:1
22.10.23	Adriese - Treviso	3:5

Upcoming Matches